• Andrew Little gains support in latest OneNews Colmar Brunton Poll

    From JohnO@3:770/3 to All on Wednesday, June 07, 2017 13:38:13
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

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  • From jmschristophers@gmail.com@3:770/3 to george on Wednesday, June 07, 2017 15:20:17
    On Thursday, June 8, 2017 at 9:42:31 AM UTC+12, george wrote:
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry


    You'll recall Helen Clark scoring a dismal 2% in 1996. Three years later she was running the show, consolidating her hold with two further terms.

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  • From george152@3:770/3 to JohnO on Thursday, June 08, 2017 09:42:35
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry

    ---
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  • From JohnO@3:770/3 to jmschri...@gmail.com on Wednesday, June 07, 2017 18:11:22
    On Thursday, 8 June 2017 10:20:18 UTC+12, jmschri...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, June 8, 2017 at 9:42:31 AM UTC+12, george wrote:
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry


    You'll recall Helen Clark scoring a dismal 2% in 1996. Three years later she
    was running the show, consolidating her hold with two further terms.

    Yep three years later - what when her approval was around 30%.

    It's the approval at the time of the election that matters and Mr Little at 8% this close to the election makes his party's chance of success very remote indeed.

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    * Origin: Agency HUB, Dunedin - New Zealand | Fido<>Usenet Gateway (3:770/3)
  • From Rich80105@3:770/3 to All on Thursday, June 08, 2017 14:07:26
    On Wed, 7 Jun 2017 18:11:22 -0700 (PDT), JohnO <johno1234@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Thursday, 8 June 2017 10:20:18 UTC+12, jmschri...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, June 8, 2017 at 9:42:31 AM UTC+12, george wrote:
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry


    You'll recall Helen Clark scoring a dismal 2% in 1996. Three years later she was running the show, consolidating her hold with two further terms.

    Yep three years later - what when her approval was around 30%.

    It's the approval at the time of the election that matters and Mr Little at 8%
    this close to the election makes his party's chance of success very remote indeed.

    Its the party vote that will be critical - the "popularity" vote is
    effectively name recognition, which is a different issue - and one
    that moves wildly without necessarily changing the likely result of an election. I don't what the "favoured PM" surveys show for Jeremy
    Corbin, but it does appear that his party will do much better than his "personal popularity" would indicate on your basis of thinking. Indeed
    polls in New Zealand have shown a close election for quite some time -
    with both National and Labour as the largest two parties needing
    support from other parties to win government.

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  • From JohnO@3:770/3 to All on Wednesday, June 07, 2017 19:26:43
    On Thursday, 8 June 2017 14:07:27 UTC+12, Rich80105 wrote:
    On Wed, 7 Jun 2017 18:11:22 -0700 (PDT), JohnO <johno1234@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Thursday, 8 June 2017 10:20:18 UTC+12, jmschri...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, June 8, 2017 at 9:42:31 AM UTC+12, george wrote:
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry


    You'll recall Helen Clark scoring a dismal 2% in 1996. Three years later
    she was running the show, consolidating her hold with two further terms.

    Yep three years later - what when her approval was around 30%.

    It's the approval at the time of the election that matters and Mr Little at
    8% this close to the election makes his party's chance of success very remote indeed.

    Its the party vote that will be critical - the "popularity" vote is effectively name recognition, which is a different issue - and one
    that moves wildly without necessarily changing the likely result of an election. I don't what the "favoured PM" surveys show for Jeremy
    Corbin, but it does appear that his party will do much better than his "personal popularity" would indicate on your basis of thinking. Indeed
    polls in New Zealand have shown a close election for quite some time -
    with both National and Labour as the largest two parties needing
    support from other parties to win government.

    People are less likely to vote for a party if they don't like its leader, and I
    can't find any party in NZ that has been elected to power when its leader is as
    unpopular as Angry Andy at 8% preferred Prime Minister rating. Can you?

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  • From Pooh@3:770/3 to jmschristophers@gmail.com on Saturday, June 10, 2017 13:33:09
    On 8/06/2017 10:20 a.m., jmschristophers@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, June 8, 2017 at 9:42:31 AM UTC+12, george wrote:
    On 6/8/2017 8:38 AM, JohnO wrote:
    Read all about it here:

    https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips

    Wow. So the angry little man is no longer Mr 7%
    He is now king of the hill at 8%.
    An astounding rise in popularitry


    You'll recall Helen Clark scoring a dismal 2% in 1996. Three years later she
    was running the show, consolidating her hold with two further terms.


    Clark was a much smarter operator than Little. If Little was tied to the
    unions so much he might even be doing better than he is.

    Pooh

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