• Some Facts for Tony . . .

    From Rich80105@3:770/3 to All on Sunday, July 24, 2016 21:19:41
    This is the article, but the commentsa re also worth reading:

    http://pundit.co.nz/content/policy-by-panic

    Policy by Panic
    by Brian Easton
    In too many areas the government is avoiding taking policy decisions.
    When it has to its panic measures are knee-jerk and quick-fix

    Just nine years ago, John Key, then leader of the opposition, spoke to
    the Auckland branch of the New Zealand Contractors Federation about
    housing affordability which he described then as a ‘crisis [which had]
    reached dangerous levels in recent years and looks set to get worse.’

    ‘We now have what has been described as the second worst
    housing affordability problem in the world. Make no mistake; this
    problem has got worse in recent years. ... This problem won’t be
    solved by knee-jerk, quick-fix plans. And it won’t be curbed with one
    or two government-sponsored building developments. Instead, we need
    government leadership that is prepared to focus on the fundamental
    issues driving the crisis. National is ready to provide that
    leadership’ and not just ‘rinky-dink schemes.’

    A month ago – nine years later – under pressure from the Labour Party
    the government had knee-jerk, quick-fix reactions to the continuing deterioration of home affordability. A policy reversal was literally
    announced on Twitter. Such was the panic that the Minister for
    Business, Steven Joyce, said Labour's policies were very similar to
    the government's policies, while the Minister of Finance, Bill
    English, said Labour policies would be ineffective. (They may not be disagreeing.)

    Another instance of policy panic appears to be the bowel cancer
    screening roll-out. The problem – our death rate is much higher than Australia’s, which has long had a screening program – was identified
    over a decade ago, and the Labour government instigated pilot
    programs. However, when a national roll-out was announced, again under
    public pressure, the Treasury grumbled there was no business case.
    Probably if it were made, the case would more than justify the
    roll-out. The point here is that the government seems, as in the case
    of housing, to have no coherent policy development strategy other than
    reacting to pressure.

    There are many other long-standing policy issues which the government
    has not addressed and on which it seems to have no coherent approach.
    They include

    The aging population, with life expectation rising but no corresponding adjustment to the age of entitlement for New Zealand Superannuation, one consequence of which is that health and
    residential services for the aged are underfunded.

    Capital gains tax and tax avoidance.

    Our response to climate change is promise without delivery
    of emissions reductions and neglect to planning on how adapt to the
    rising sea levels. .

    The lack of a coherent and comprehensive freshwater
    strategy that deals with both existing quality and quantity pressures
    and prevents them worsening, while giving away precious water to
    commercial users.

    The very high and rising level of private household debt, reflecting the inadequacy of household savings.

    Economic inequality and its impact on social coherence and
    our long term economic performance.

    Energy sustainability.

    The failure to make a public case for the open economy.
    Instead, those against it (such as those who oppose the TPPA on
    grounds of principle rather than having pragmatic doubts) have led the
    public discussion without challenge.

    We are still lagging on investment in public urban
    transport.

    The regulation of the quality of the building industry
    remains inadequate despite the problem first appearing (as ‘leaky
    buildings’) fifteen years ago. (The most recent example is the
    debacles about the quality (and testing) of steel from China and
    elsewhere, used to reinforce concrete so that the building (or road
    tunnel) is reasonably earthquake proof.)

    The failure to build up reserves to meet another global
    financial crisis.

    Others may add to the list, but these are examples I recall discussing
    a decade and more ago. In each case progress since has been, at best,
    patchy but very often just sound and fury, signifying nothing.

    To be honest, we were grumbling a decade ago because the Labour
    Government of the time seemed to be taking its time to address the
    issues. But generally, it eventually got around to them without
    panicking and there was some progress. In each case such progress has
    largely since come to a halt.

    What is going on is twofold. First, this is not a government with a
    vision – even less than the Clark-Cullen Government. Second, it has
    been squeezing resources out of the public service and that, together
    with its erratic or quiescent leadership, has meant that the policy
    development process has broken down.

    Nine years ago John Key identified housing affordability as a major
    issue for his government but, apparently when faced with a political
    crisis, there was no policy waiting to be proposed and implemented and
    all we got was rinky-dink schemes.

    I would not want to make exact parallels, but I am reminded of the
    Muldoon Government which was so short term, so political, that it
    deferred difficult decisions hoping they would go away or they would
    be dealt with by the next government (which often got them wrong). I
    shant be surprised if future historians judge the Key-English
    Government similarly.

    PS. I am grateful to Bernard Hickey for reminding us of Key’s 2007
    speech.

    _________________________

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  • From Tony @3:770/3 to rich80105@hotmail.com on Sunday, July 24, 2016 17:47:03
    Rich80105<rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    This is the article, but the commentsa re also worth reading:

    http://pundit.co.nz/content/policy-by-panic

    Unnecessary repeat of what is in the link snipped.

    Whether you meant this for me or for someone else I don't know, but here goes. There are a couple of facts and an enormous amount of opinion - you seem to struggle with the difference between those two things.
    Of course there are problems that need addressing, most of them have existed for decades and will continue to be problems whoever is in government.
    Lack of funds is the underlying issue - most of the opinions expressed could be fixed if we had more money - but we don't and it is that simple. Labour have no policy that would fix that any more than the government does.

    If you meant this for me then I am somewhat bemused that you think I care about spin from any side of politics - I don't and was disappointed that this had no substance. Why bother Rich?
    Tony

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