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Even with the Delta variant cases, hospitalizations and deaths hitting
levels not seen for months, along with concerns the Fed will slow asset purchases later this year, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed at record
highs on Friday. By President Trump’s favorite measure of success,
President Biden’s post-election and inauguration stock market gains have beaten Trump’s equivalent nine plus month’s returns. The stock market
has not crashed under Biden as Trump predicted as seen in this debate video.

All three major indexes, the Dow 30 Industrials, S&P 500 and the NASDAQ
have generated greater percentage increases from their respective
election days to late August. Biden’s outperformance includes from the
day of the November 3 election and the Friday after the election since
the race was not called until the weekend. Biden’s returns have also
beaten Trump’s starting from January 19, the day before they were inaugurated.

Using the returns from the time the election was called in Biden’s favor
to late August vs. when Trump was called the winner to the same
timeframe the Dow, S&P 500 and the NASDAQ have risen by 6.2%, 14.3% and
6.5% more under Biden, respectively.

Biden’s Dow has been a steady outperformer vs. Trump

On the Tuesday in 2016 the election was held between Donald Trump and
Hillary Clinton the Dow 30 Industrials closed at 18,333. The Index
responded positively to Trump’s victory, called on the same evening, and continued to rise through early August but trailed off for a few weeks.

From Tuesday, November 8, close: Up 3,481 or 19.0%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 2,081 or 10.5%
Dow performance under President Trump
Dow performance under President Trump STOCKCHARTS.COM
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On the Tuesday of the election between Trump and Biden the Index closed
at 28,323. It also increased the next three days with Biden in the lead
but it had not been called. However, the Monday after the election was
called the Index gapped upwards and has continually risen except for a
few sharp downturns that quickly reversed. Biden’s returns have been
better by 6.2% from when the election was called and 4.1% since his inauguration.

From Tuesday, November 3, close: Up 7,975 or 29.0%
From Friday, November 6, close: Up 7,131 or 25.2%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 4,524 or 14.6%
Dow performance under President Biden
Dow performance under President Biden STOCKCHARTS.COM
The S&P 500 is Biden’s largest outperformance vs. Trump

Trump saw a smaller gain in the S&P 500 vs. the Dow 30. It rose 14.2%
from his election day and 7.9% from his inauguration to late August 2017.

From Tuesday, November 8, close: Up 303 or 14.2%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 179 or 7.9%
S&P 500 performance under President Trump
S&P 500 performance under President Trump STOCKCHARTS.COM
Between Biden’s election and last Friday the S&P 500 returns were better
than the Dow’s. Biden’s market returns were again substantially above Trump’s by 14.3% from when the election was called and 10.8% from his inauguration.

From Tuesday, November 3, close: Up 1,140 or 33.8%
From Friday, November 6, close: Up 1,000 or 28.5%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 710 or 18.7%
S&P 500 performance under President Biden
S&P 500 performance under President Biden STOCKCHARTS.COM
The NASDAQ was Trump’s best Index but still falls short of Biden’s

The post-election to late August timeframe saw the NASDAQ with the
highest performing Index for Trump, coming in at 20.6%, which was still
short of Biden’s 27.2%.

From Tuesday, November 8, close: Up 1,072 or 20.6%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 726 or 13.1%
Nasdaq performance under President Trump
Nasdaq performance under President Trump STOCKCHARTS.COM
Trump’s return of 13.1% since his inauguration is the metric that is the closest to Biden, which has increased 14.6%.

From Tuesday, November 3, close: Up 3,969 or 35.6%
From Friday, November 6, close: Up 3,234 or 27.2%
From January 19 (the day before the Inauguration): Up 1,932 or 14.6%
Nasdaq performance under President Biden
Nasdaq performance under President Biden STOCKCHARTS.COM
Chuck Jones
Chuck Jones
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I provide independent research of technology companies and was
previously one of two analysts that determined the... Read More



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