• the hole at the south pole

    From MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com@1:229/2 to All on Sunday, March 28, 2021 21:38:03
    The more I look at this stuff the less I'm surprised that claims that
    seemed to be crazy seem to have some objective data backing them up.

    As part of a "hunt the wumpus" plan to find locations around the earth
    that seem to have weather conditions that highly correlate with
    (proxies for) UFO activity -- aka possible "UFO bases" -- I previous
    scanned the N and S polar regions and found some interesting areas in not-all-that-surprising parts of the regions.

    But a zoom call from someone a couple days back has led me to re-visit
    the Antarctic data and look for another feature -- the alleged "hole
    at the S Pole that leads to Inner Earth".

    According to the folklore there are holes at both poles that give
    (whatever) access to some vast underground region that essentially
    forms a parallel Earth.

    While the geophysics of vast underground caverns at depth is
    questionable, at least we can have a look to see whether there is any
    unusual area near the south pole that may correspond with a big hole
    that connects with UFO activity.

    So we have the data -- in this case satellites cover Antarctica quite
    well (seemingly better than the north pole) and NOAA publishes stitched
    daily radar maps that are used by different folks to estimate sea-ice
    coverage and other metrics related to global weather and climate.

    We can chop the data up into a grid of regions and create a time
    series of the average radar return over time from each. We can then
    create a series of robust predictive models that show us how well the
    radar data predicts future UFO activity (as usual I'll use the NUFORC
    open access data -- for this study at daily granularity).

    We can then plot a "density map" of the region to show which areas
    seem to closely predict UFO activity in the days (upto 100 in this
    work) after the radar data was gathered.

    Not so surprising some key regions in the Antarctic predict UFO
    activity within a few% upto 3 months in the future. "For some
    reason" the radar data -- a proxy of seaice over water and ice
    thickness over land let's say -- tells us how many UFO's will be
    sighted across N Am at a specific day in the future to within a few
    percent. Given there are some wild swings in the UFO data it's even
    "more amazing" most of these are also predicted from the same models.
    The relationship is so strong it's possible to predict where and when
    certain UFO types might be visible across N Am weeks to months in the
    future.

    But today we'll look at what the maps have to say about a "hole at the pole".

    I've put the rough maps up at <kymhorsell.com/UFO/Ant>. The first
    of the 3 images shows the original radar map stitched from the
    various satellites that cross the region on a particular day. You can
    see around the edge of the image various black regions with
    straight/triangular edges. These are regions the satellites
    happened to miss on that particular day. Whiter regions in the image
    are those returning a stronger radar signal. Black regions (if they
    aren't associated with missed data) indicate very low radar returns
    ("cross section"). High returns come from flat solids, flat ocean,
    flat sea ice. Low returns come from rough solids, fluffy snow,
    angular mountain peaks and -- probably -- the odd UFO cloaking field.

    We can see in the 2nd image a map of regions where radar returns
    correlate strongly with UFO sightings upto 100 days in the future.
    We note the scale goes up to 1. And the yellowish regions in the image represent areas where apparent low levels of seaice (lower radar
    returns) predict future UFO sightings up to 98% of the time. We can
    also see blue regions on the image that correspond with regions that
    only get UFO sightings right up to 1/2 the time.

    But so far no hole.

    But we can re-focus and look at regions that closely
    predict UFO sightings upto 10 days in the future -- not 100. Maybe
    the presence of sea ice modulates UFO travel from or over the region
    (my mental model is "coming in and out of the ocean around there") for
    the next season, but the (permanent) presence of a feature like a hole
    should affect travel in the short term, even if less strongly.
    (You "can't" travel through sea ice; but you "may" travel in or out of a
    hole where a lot of snow may be falling).

    Cast your eyes down to image 3. There is no hole at the pole --
    located in the middle of the density plot (i.e. X,Y=7.5,7.5). But
    there *is* a very circular region located nearby at ~4 o'clock
    (X,Y=10,7). Somehow returns in a region about 4 deg in diam (~450 km)
    affect almost 1/2 of UFO sightings upto 10 days in the future. The feature
    has a black center indicating snow and ice there do not affect UFO activity. Maybe the sat radar can't detect changes in snow and ice there.
    It might be sloped ground or the ice and snow broken. On a standard map
    of Antarctica (90W to the left and 90E to the right)
    there is a big valley running across the continent from the "NW" to
    "SE" and passing through the "hole". Or the black might be a blanking field. :) And around hole is an obvious ring where the presence of
    more ice and snow predict upto ~40% of UFO activity across the US over
    the next 10 days.

    Seemingly this would be consistent with a "hole with a lid" or maybe a
    mountain (or some might say "dome") with exits in all directions.

    The location of the "hole"'s center appears to be inside the sliver of
    the French area inside the Australian region at around 75S.
    The nearest research station is 1000s of km away.

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