• what would a year of physical distancing mean for the UK?

    From slider@1:229/2 to All on Thursday, April 23, 2020 17:50:43
    From: slider@atashram.com

    Some restrictions likely to be gradually eased but older people may be
    stuck at home

    The public has been warned to brace themselves for another year of
    physical distancing measures, with the chief medical officer for England,
    Prof Chris Whitty, saying it is time to be realistic about what lies ahead.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/23/what-would-year-physical-distancing-mean-for-uk

    But what would a new normal of physical distancing look like?

    Sector by sector

    Construction and manufacturing are likely to be at the forefront of a
    phased return that would be based on a traffic-light system, particularly
    given the pressure from Conservative MPs. The government recently issued guidance saying such work could continue if done in line with physical distancing rules “wherever possible”.

    Shops could return next, subject to reduced opening hours and strict rules
    on customer numbers at any one time, including DIY retailers and garden centres, plus hairdressers.

    In terms of non-essential services, they could be followed by restaurants
    and pub, though again with physical distancing on tables and a cap on
    customer numbers.

    Last to come back would be arts and culture, including cinemas and
    theatres, while Premier League football matches would initially be played behind closed doors, perhaps with some screened on free-to-air TV. The
    National Theatre is hoping to reopen in July while planning for scenarios
    that might push it back as late as January or beyond.

    The shielded

    The government said in March it would be contacting 1.5 million people to
    tell them they should be “shielding” on account of being at a higher risk due to factors such as their age or underlying health conditions.

    That number could grow. The increase would be driven by information
    provided by GPs tasked with finding out more about other patients.

    If such groups have to confine themselves to their homes for another year,
    or until a vaccine is ready, then enhancements are likely to be made to processes including the employment of an army of volunteers and online
    delivery systems.

    Generational divide

    One approach that has been discussed by policymakers, and proposed by researchers such as those at Warwick University, involves a youth-first
    policy allowing for younger worker in their 20s and 30s who no longer live
    with their parents to return to work first.

    While younger groups are not impervious to Covid-19, they are regarded as
    the most resilient. Such an approach has led some to joke there could even
    be a maximum drinking age in the bars that might open at the same time.

    By contrast, vulnerable and older people – specifically those aged above
    70 – might have to remain in their homes for at least another year or
    until a vaccine is developed.

    Back to school

    While there is a case for reopening smaller schools first, one proposal is
    for secondary schools and above to open initially, as older students would
    be more likely – in theory – to abide by physical distancing and travel by themselves. In England the most likely are years 10 and 12 - the first
    years of GCSE and A-levels respectively.

    In terms of primaries, one idea floating around government is that year 6
    – comprising 10- and 11-year-olds – could be allowed back. Other proposed measures include staggering opening times, capping numbers and hours,
    altering term times and providing protective equipment for staff in some instances.

    Imposing measures

    Britons have not been ordered to wear masks in public, although this could become more commonplace if mayors including London’s Sadiq Khan continue
    to back the measure.

    But it appears other measures, including floor markings inside and outside supermarkets, are here to stay and may well be expanded. Temperature
    screening, of the type that customers in China’s shops and travellers at
    some international airports have become used to, could also appear.

    A concept that could gain traction again is that of immunity passports for people who have antibodies after previously contracting coronavirus. But
    this is complicated, not least by problems with testing, unsettled science around immunity and fears some may want to become deliberately infected.

    Amid an unprecedented global surge in digital surveillance, many might
    also be concerned by steps towards tracking of the type credited in South
    Korea with helping to suppress the pandemic there at an early stage.

    An NHS app is being tested that would allow people to report their
    symptoms and then anonymously alert other users that have been in contact
    with that person in recent days.

    ### - here it comes: life for the foreseeable future?

    not the same as it was anyhow, different... plus, over a long enough
    period, with people then looking for shortcuts etc based on how we're now
    only allowed to behave thus setting a pattern going forward that might not
    be so easily retreated from afterwards once the routine sets in...

    people over 70 never going out again until an effective vaccine or
    treatment is found for example?

    drunk people in bars & clubs not getting too close or friendly is a bit
    harder to imagine though hah! is too much to expect? (definitely!)

    plus what happens when they all spill-out onto the streets at chucking-out time! a notorious time here when the streets fill with drunks and fights
    break out and everything lol, that ain't gonna ever work! (can't reason
    with 'em when they're sober let alone when they's pissed outta their
    minds! riiight...)

    what about the rush-hour and public transport twice a day, how's that
    supposed to work if social distancing applies??

    curious innit what's coming :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)