• Global Warming Is Almost Entirely Natural, Study Confirms

    From slider@1:229/2 to All on Tuesday, August 22, 2017 21:53:44
    From: slider@nanashram.com

    Most global warming is natural and even if there had been no Industrial Revolution current global temperatures would be almost exactly the same as
    they are now, a study has found.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/08/22/delingpole-global-warming-is-almost-entirely-natural-study-confirms/

    The paper, by Australian scientists John Abbot and Jennifer Marohasy,
    published in GeoResJ uses the latest big data technique to analyse six
    2,000 year-long proxy temperature series from different geographic
    regions. “Proxies” are the markers scientists use – tree rings, sediments,
    pollen, etc – to try assess global temperature trends in the days before
    the existence of thermometers. All the evidence suggests that the planet
    was about a degree warmer during the Medieval Warming Period than it is
    now; and that there is nothing unnatural or unprecedented about late 20th century and early 21st century “climate change”.

    This contradicts the claims of alarmist scientists at the
    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that “man made” global warming
    is a worrying and dangerous phenomenon.

    Time-series profiles derived from temperature proxies such as tree rings
    can provide information about past climate. Signal analysis was undertaken
    of six such datasets, and the resulting component sine waves used as input
    to an artificial neural network (ANN), a form of machine learning. By optimizing spectral features of the component sine waves, such as
    periodicity, amplitude and phase, the original temperature profiles were approximately simulated for the late Holocene period to 1830 CE. The ANN
    models were then used to generate projections of temperatures through the
    20th century. The largest deviation between the ANN projections and
    measured temperatures for six geographically distinct regions was
    approximately 0.2 °C, and from this an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity
    (ECS) of approximately 0.6 °C was estimated. This is considerably less
    than estimates from the General Circulation Models (GCMs) used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and similar to estimates
    from spectroscopic methods.

    In fact as the chart shows, recent warming is well within the planet’s natural historic climate boundaries:

    According to co-author Jennifer Mahorasy – who was behind the recent
    exposure of the scandal in which Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology was
    found to be erasing record-breaking low temperatures from its records – global temperature has moved up and down quite naturally for the last 2000 years.

    (paper)
    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214242817300426#!

    We began by deconstructing the six-proxy series from different geographic regions – series already published in the mainstream climate science literature. One of these, the Northern Hemisphere composite series begins
    in 50 AD, ends in the year 2000, and is derived from studies of pollen,
    lake sediments, stalagmites and boreholes.

    Typical of most such temperature series, it zigzags up and down while
    showing two rising trends: the first peaks about 1200 AD and corresponds
    with a period known as the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), while the second
    peaks in 1980 and then shows decline. In between, is the Little Ice Age
    (LIA), which according to the Northern Hemisphere composite bottomed-out
    in 1650 AD. (Of course, the MWP corresponded with a period of generally
    good harvests in England – when men dressed in tunics and built grand cathedrals with tall spires. It preceded the LIA when there was famine
    and the Great Plague of London.)

    Up until the 1990s, this was widely accepted by the climate science
    community. But then came a concerted effort led by alarmists including
    Michael “Hockey Stick” Mann to erase the Medieval Warming Period from the records. Scientists who argued otherwise – among them Willie Soon and
    Sallie Balliunas – were harassed for their “incorrect” thinking.

    However, the new study would appear to confirm that the skeptics were
    right all along – and that it’s the alarmists who have some apologizing to do.

    To be clear, while mainstream climate science is replete with published
    proxy temperature studies showing that temperatures have cycled up and
    down over the last 2,000 years – spiking during the Medieval Warm Period
    and then again recently to about 1980 as shown in Figure 12 – the official IPCC reconstructions (which underpin the Paris Accord) deny such cycles. Through this denial, leaders from within this much-revered community can
    claim that there is something unusual about current temperatures: that we
    have catastrophic global warming from industrialisation.

    In our new paper in GeoResJ, we not only use the latest techniques in big
    data to show that there would very likely have been significant warming to
    at least 1980 in the absence of industrialisation, we also calculate an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of 0.6°C. This is the temperature increase expected from a doubling of carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere. This is an order of magnitude less than estimates from General Circulation Models, but in accordance from values generated from
    experimental spectroscopic studies, and other approaches reported in the scientific literature [9,10,11,12,13,14].

    The science is far from settled. In reality, some of the data is ‘problematic’, the underlying physical mechanisms are complex and poorly understood, the literature voluminous, and new alternative techniques
    (such as our method using ANNs) can give very different answers to those derived from General Circulation Models and remodelled proxy-temperature series.

    ### - curious :)

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    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From dworrell@theuprise.net@1:229/2 to All on Tuesday, August 22, 2017 15:12:48
    Breitbart? Rightfart?

    That study is published by Elsevier, in a journal 'GeoResJ'
    that's about to be discontinued in about 6 months.
    So I'm not sure it's... credible.

    And you think that's interesting. You should have been
    a far-right winger. :) You do seem to hold most of their views...
    At least, when you're not wringing your hands over how we're
    destroying the earth (a curious contradiction going on there).

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From Jeremy H. Denisovan@1:229/2 to All on Tuesday, August 22, 2017 15:56:20
    From: david.j.worrell@gmail.com

    Breitbart? And published by Elsevier? In a journal that's going
    defunct in about 6 months. (I'm not researching those authors.)

    You sure know how to pick 'em. :) Are you positive you're not a
    right-winger? It's baffling how you go look for stuff like this
    and then turn around and wring your hands over destroying earth.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From slider@1:229/2 to dworrell@theuprise.net on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 00:03:48
    From: slider@anashram.org

    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 23:12:48 +0100, <dworrell@theuprise.net> wrote:

    Breitbart? Rightfart?

    That study is published by Elsevier, in a journal 'GeoResJ'
    that's about to be discontinued in about 6 months.
    So I'm not sure it's... credible.

    And you think that's interesting. You should have been
    a far-right winger. :) You do seem to hold most of their views...
    At least, when you're not wringing your hands over how we're
    destroying the earth (a curious contradiction going on there).

    ### - seems to be a genuine paper nevertheless?

    and no, am not right wing (like you are hah) am just left of center
    ('pink' (as opposed to red) i think they call it? heh, which one's
    pink?;), the fact that the right wing doesn't get absolutely 'everything'
    wrong being neither here nor there! (except perhaps in your head that is hehehe...) i mean, we need 'some' law & order + even stopped clocks etc
    etc, n'cest pa? ;)

    but then you: 'jumping to conclusions' (heh) IS par for the course, is it
    not?

    that if you'd only taken your time and 'examined' things properly you
    likely wouldn't have gotten into 'half' the trouble you ultimately did;
    over quite silly things?

    perforce you hate/abhor this potential paper because it directly
    contradicts, well, just about everything you stand for innit tho' 'hah,
    the very possibility' that you 'might' just be 'wrong' never even enters
    your head! that is, until it all falls over whereon you're immediately on
    the opposing team like greased fucking lightning hahaha, pointing the
    finger??

    yup, that's what you do (and have done all along) alright!

    and i don't see any spots changing as yet! :)))

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From Jeremy H. Denisovan@1:229/2 to slider on Tuesday, August 22, 2017 16:49:31
    From: david.j.worrell@gmail.com

    On Tuesday, August 22, 2017 at 4:03:54 PM UTC-7, slider wrote:
    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 23:12:48 +0100, wrote:

    Breitbart? Rightfart?

    That study is published by Elsevier, in a journal 'GeoResJ'
    that's about to be discontinued in about 6 months.
    So I'm not sure it's... credible.

    And you think that's interesting. You should have been
    a far-right winger. :) You do seem to hold most of their views...
    At least, when you're not wringing your hands over how we're
    destroying the earth (a curious contradiction going on there).

    ### - seems to be a genuine paper nevertheless?

    and no, am not right wing (like you are hah) am just left of center
    ('pink' (as opposed to red) i think they call it? heh, which one's
    pink?;), the fact that the right wing doesn't get absolutely 'everything' wrong being neither here nor there! (except perhaps in your head that is hehehe...) i mean, we need 'some' law & order + even stopped clocks etc
    etc, n'cest pa? ;)

    but then you: 'jumping to conclusions' (heh) IS par for the course, is it not?

    that if you'd only taken your time and 'examined' things properly you
    likely wouldn't have gotten into 'half' the trouble you ultimately did;
    over quite silly things?

    perforce you hate/abhor this potential paper because it directly
    contradicts, well, just about everything you stand for innit tho' 'hah,
    the very possibility' that you 'might' just be 'wrong' never even enters
    your head! that is, until it all falls over whereon you're immediately on
    the opposing team like greased fucking lightning hahaha, pointing the finger??

    yup, that's what you do (and have done all along) alright!

    It's not just "opposing teams", dumb shit. On one 'side' are virtually
    all the major international scientific organizations, and the most
    prestigious science journals and peer-reviewed publications on earth,
    and on the other 'side' are a few fringe dissenters, most of whom
    are somehow in the pocket of industry, and/or are demonstrably wrong.


    and i don't see any spots changing as yet! :)))

    You seldom see anything clearly. Moreover, you put hard WORK into
    being an a-hole. :) You out of your way to do it, any chance you get.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From thang ornerythinchus@1:229/2 to david.j.worrell@gmail.com on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 08:08:14
    From: thangolossus@gmail.com

    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 15:56:20 -0700 (PDT), "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> wrote:

    Breitbart? And published by Elsevier? In a journal that's going
    defunct in about 6 months. (I'm not researching those authors.)

    You sure know how to pick 'em. :) Are you positive you're not a
    right-winger? It's baffling how you go look for stuff like this
    and then turn around and wring your hands over destroying earth.

    Here's some of Dr Marohasy's publications (non-exhaustive). She
    specialises in advanced neural network learning as a mode for the
    accurate prediction of weather. She may have ideas which go against
    the anthropogenic climate change grain, but then again, where would be
    all be without iconoclasts?


    Abbot, J. & Marohasy J. 2017. The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change, GeoResJ,
    Volume 14, Pages 36-46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gf.2017.08.001

    Abbot, J. & Marohasy, J. 2017. Skilful rainfall forecasts from
    artificial neural networks with long duration series and single-month optimisation, Atmospheric Research, Volume 197, Pages 289-299. DOI10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.07.01

    Abbot, J. & Nicol, J. 2017. The Contribution of Carbon Dioxide to
    Global Warming, In Climate Change: The Facts 2017, Institute of Public
    Affairs, Melbourne, Editor J. Marohasy, Pages 282-296.

    Marohasy, J. 2017. The Homogenisation of Rutherglen, In Climate
    Change: The Facts 2017, Institute of Public Affairs, Melbourne, Editor
    J. Marohasy, Pages 132-146.

    Marohasy, J. & Vlok, J. 2017. Moving in Unison: Maximum Temperatures
    from Victoria, Australia, In Climate Change: The Facts 2017, Institute
    of Public Affairs, Melbourne, Editor J. Marohasy, Pages 147-162.

    Abbot, J. & Marohasy, J. 2017. Forecasting extreme monthly rainfall
    events in regions of Queensland, Australia, using artificial neural
    networks. International Journal of Sustainable Development &
    Planning, Volume 12, Pages 1117-1131.DOI 10.2495/SDP-V12-N7-1117-1131.
    (Open access.)

    Abbot, J. & Marohasy, J. 2017. Application of artificial neural
    networks to forecasting monthly rainfall one year in advance for
    locations within the Murray Darling Basin, Australia, International
    Journal of Sustainable Development & Planning. Volume 12, Pages
    1282-1298. DOI 10.2495/SDP-V12-N8-1282-1298.

    Abbot, J. & Marohasy, J. 2016. Forecasting monthly rainfall in the
    Bowen Basin of Queensland, Australia, using neural networks with Nino
    indices. In AI 2016: Advances in Artificial Intelligence, Eds. B.H.
    Kand & Q. Bai. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-50127-7_7.

    Abbot, J. & Marohasy, J. 2016. Forecasting monthly rainfall in the
    Western Australian wheat-belt up to 18-months in advance using
    artificial neural networks. In AI 2016: Advances in Artificial
    Intelligence, Eds. B.H. Kand & Q. Bai. DOI:
    10.1007/978-3-319-50127-7_6.

    Marohasy, J. & Abbot J. 2016. Southeast Australian Maximum Temperature
    Trends, 1887–2013: An Evidence-Based Reappraisal. In Evidence-Based
    Climate Science (Second Edition), Ed. D. Easterbrook. Pages 83-99. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-804588-6.00005-7

    Marohasy, J. 2016. Temperature change at Rutherglen in south-east
    Australia, New Climate, http://dx.doi.org/10.22221/nc.2016.001

    Marohasy, J. & Abbot, J. 2015. Assessing the quality of eight
    different maximum temperature time series as inputs when using
    artificial neural networks to forecast monthly rainfall at Cape Otway, Australia, Atmospheric Research, Volume 166, Pages 141-149. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.06.025.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J. 2015. Using artificial intelligence to forecast
    monthly rainfall under present and future climates for the Bowen
    Basin, Queensland, Australia, International Journal of Sustainable
    Development and Planning, Volume 10, Issue 1, Pages 66 – 75. DOI: 10.2495/SDP-V10-N1-66-75

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J. 2015. Using lagged and forecast climate
    indices with artificial intelligence to predict monthly rainfall in
    the Brisbane Catchment, Queensland, Australia, International Journal
    of Sustainable Development and Planning. Volume 10, Issue 1, Pages
    29-41.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J., 2015. Improving monthly rainfall forecasts
    using artificial neural networks and single-month optimisation in the
    Brisbane Catchment, Queensland, Australia. WIT Transactions on Ecology
    and the Environment, 196: 3-13.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J., 2015. Forecasting of monthly rainfall in the
    Murray Darling Basin, Australia: Miles as a case study. WIT
    Transactions on Ecology and the Environment, 197: 149-159.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J. 2014. Input selection and optimisation for
    monthly rainfall forecasting in Queensland, Australia, using
    artificial neural networks. Atmospheric Research, Volume 138, Pages
    166-178.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J. 2013. The application of artificial
    intelligence for monthly rainfall forecasting in the Brisbane
    Catchment, Queensland, Australia. River Basin Management VII. WIT
    Press. Editor C.A. Brebbia. Pages 125-135.

    Abbot J. & Marohasy J. 2013. The potential benefits of using
    artificial intelligence for monthly rainfall forecasting for the Bowen
    Basin, Queensland, Australia. Water Resources Management VII. WIT
    Press. Editor C.A. Brebbia. Pages 287-297.

    Abbot J., & J. Marohasy, 2011. Application of artificial neural
    networks to rainfall forecasting in Queensland, Australia. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Volume 29, Number 4, Pages 717-730. doi: 10.1007/s00376-012-1259-9



    ---
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    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From Jeremy H. Denisovan@1:229/2 to All on Tuesday, August 22, 2017 17:39:21
    From: david.j.worrell@gmail.com

    Dude, almost anyone can PAY Elsevier to publish their work.
    And that journal it was in is literally going away next year.

    If that study is ever referenced or validated by say...
    Nature Climate Change, or Scientific American, or NASA,
    or National Geographic, or the National Academy of Sciences,
    or the IPCC, or the Yale Program on Climate Change, or the
    MIT Program on Science and Policy or etc. etc. ... then I'll listen.

    Otherwise, you're just doing exactly what I said - going out
    of your way to hunt down some contrarian data anywhere you can,
    just to be an asshole. It's totally what you do. :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From slider@1:229/2 to david.j.worrell@gmail.com on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 02:03:35
    From: slider@anashram.org

    On Wed, 23 Aug 2017 00:49:31 +0100, Jeremy H. Denisovan <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Tuesday, August 22, 2017 at 4:03:54 PM UTC-7, slider wrote:
    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 23:12:48 +0100, wrote:

    Breitbart? Rightfart?

    That study is published by Elsevier, in a journal 'GeoResJ'
    that's about to be discontinued in about 6 months.
    So I'm not sure it's... credible.

    And you think that's interesting. You should have been
    a far-right winger. :) You do seem to hold most of their views...
    At least, when you're not wringing your hands over how we're
    destroying the earth (a curious contradiction going on there).

    ### - seems to be a genuine paper nevertheless?

    and no, am not right wing (like you are hah) am just left of center
    ('pink' (as opposed to red) i think they call it? heh, which one's
    pink?;), the fact that the right wing doesn't get absolutely
    'everything'
    wrong being neither here nor there! (except perhaps in your head that is
    hehehe...) i mean, we need 'some' law & order + even stopped clocks etc
    etc, n'cest pa? ;)

    but then you: 'jumping to conclusions' (heh) IS par for the course, is
    it
    not?

    that if you'd only taken your time and 'examined' things properly you
    likely wouldn't have gotten into 'half' the trouble you ultimately did;
    over quite silly things?

    perforce you hate/abhor this potential paper because it directly
    contradicts, well, just about everything you stand for innit tho' 'hah,
    the very possibility' that you 'might' just be 'wrong' never even enters
    your head! that is, until it all falls over whereon you're immediately
    on
    the opposing team like greased fucking lightning hahaha, pointing the
    finger??

    yup, that's what you do (and have done all along) alright!

    It's not just "opposing teams", dumb shit. On one 'side' are virtually
    all the major international scientific organizations, and the most prestigious science journals and peer-reviewed publications on earth,
    and on the other 'side' are a few fringe dissenters, most of whom
    are somehow in the pocket of industry, and/or are demonstrably wrong.


    and i don't see any spots changing as yet! :)))

    You seldom see anything clearly. Moreover, you put hard WORK into
    being an a-hole. :) You out of your way to do it, any chance you get.

    ### - it'd simple! you're *easily convinced* jeremy! i am NOT so easily convinced!

    time and AGAIN (in history) a 'preponderance' of the truth (a consensus)
    ISN'T necessarily evidence of something being correct!

    “The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are
    full of doubts, while the stupid ones are full of confidence.” —Charles Bukowski

    “The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever
    that it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the
    majority of mankind, a widely spread belief is more likely to be foolish
    than sensible.” --Bertrand Russell

    ...is the point ok?

    iow: argue/debate all you want! that's what it's all about!

    get petty, however, start throwing stones and i toss 'em back and then YOU
    get MAD (as above: showing more your true colours than the 'ever-so-nice' person you always 'claim' to be in real life? hah - vicious!) is something
    you walk into time & again, when you could just as sooo easily have
    avoided it - but just couldn't resist!

    and look, i know you're HOT on GW - but then you're always sooo HOT on everything that you can't argue/debate properly?? if you're sooo SURE of yourself (and what you believe) then why get so het-up as to have to
    resort to character assassination instead of just arguing properly?? if
    other peeps wanna like/believe something wtf has that got to do with
    YOU??? so what!

    start chucking rocks though? then don't be surprised if one day ya do it
    to the 'wrong' person is all! (someone who might just flick it back right atcha' and smash all 'your' windows instead of what you'd originally
    intended: smashing their's! - just can't allow that old chap, know wot i mean?:)))

    you 'think' you KNOW the answer! (THIS time heh! riiight...) and that's
    what gives you (in your mind anyway) your 'right' to throw your weight
    around! but just HOW MANY TIMES have you been WRONG!!!

    and didn't fucking LEARN from that???

    we 'personally' don't know! so a bunch of fucking nerds all 'agreeing with
    one another' IS your evidence, is it??

    like; where & when have we all seen THAT shit before i wonder?!?

    you don't know and i don't know, not personally, not ultimately!

    and there's 2 schools of thought on the matter: for & against!

    well, in 'anything' like that, am immediately inclined to 'dis-agree' with
    the herd?

    like, when have they EVER been... right???

    so, in the end i don't 'believe' anything!

    i DON'T know! - there's a 'third' pov ok?

    a true sceptic! :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From slider@1:229/2 to thangolossus@gmail.com on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 03:28:19
    From: slider@nanashram.com

    ### - yer' see jeremy?? yeah wot HE said! (ahahaha...) :D



    On Wed, 23 Aug 2017 01:08:14 +0100, thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 15:56:20 -0700 (PDT), "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> wrote:

    Breitbart? And published by Elsevier? In a journal that's going
    defunct in about 6 months. (I'm not researching those authors.)

    You sure know how to pick 'em. :) Are you positive you're not a
    right-winger? It's baffling how you go look for stuff like this
    and then turn around and wring your hands over destroying earth.

    Here's some of Dr Marohasy's publications (non-exhaustive). She
    specialises in advanced neural network learning as a mode for the
    accurate prediction of weather. She may have ideas which go against
    the anthropogenic climate change grain, but then again, where would be
    all be without iconoclasts?


    Abbot, J. & Marohasy J. 2017. The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change, GeoResJ,
    Volume 14, Pages 36-46. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gf.2017.08.001

    etc etc etc etc... heh :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From Jeremy H. Denisovan@1:229/2 to thang ornerythinchus on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 12:57:46
    From: david.j.worrell@gmail.com

    On Wednesday, August 23, 2017 at 2:08:59 AM UTC-7, thang ornerythinchus wrote:
    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 17:39:21 -0700 (PDT), "Jeremy H. Denisovan"
    wrote:

    Dude, almost anyone can PAY Elsevier to publish their work.
    And that journal it was in is literally going away next year.

    If that study is ever referenced or validated by say...
    Nature Climate Change, or Scientific American, or NASA,
    or National Geographic, or the National Academy of Sciences,
    or the IPCC, or the Yale Program on Climate Change, or the
    MIT Program on Science and Policy or etc. etc. ... then I'll listen.

    Otherwise, you're just doing exactly what I said - going out
    of your way to hunt down some contrarian data anywhere you can,
    just to be an asshole. It's totally what you do. :)

    For contrarian, try iconoclast.

    Yeah, I guess we're all iconoclasts now. Right along with the fellow
    who said German Scientists proved life after death, and that last
    guy who predicted the end of the world. And Carlos himself of course.


    Copernicus was an iconoclast, and we all know *his* story.

    Copernicus was up against religious dogma. This guy's up against
    thousands of credentialed climate scientists with peer-reviewed data.
    It's not even remotely similar...


    We won't know the truth or otherwise of anthropogenic climate change
    until it's historic fact...or not.

    Taking that stance would be to fuck ourselves.

    Failing to act
    until it's "historic fact"
    isn't an option, Jack.

    :)

    And yet, unfortunately, to some degree, we've already done that. :(

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/earth-s-co2-passes-the-400-ppm-threshold-maybe-permanently/

    Ten years ago, many environmentalists advocated trying to hold
    the carbon line at 350 ppm to avoid the most serious damages.
    We're already permanently over 400 ppm. That's a fact.


    Without contrarians as you call them we wouldn't have aircraft - we'd
    still be misled into believing that things that heavy couldn't
    possibly fly (bumblebee evidence to the contrary).

    I think the preponderance of evidence supports anthropogenic climate
    change but I'm still unsure because what we are experiencing may be an aberration and geologically historic data shows much higher levels of
    CO2 when we didn't exist.

    According to the most recent studies from major scientific groups,
    we're already experiencing serious effects of global warming *now*.
    There's little point in even posting studies indicating this,
    because there are *so many* , and you guys don't read 'em anyway.


    At least slider throws up new ideas, most often wrong but who knows?
    It's refreshing in a way. He clearly ain't cattle...

    Well, he does 'throw up' a lot. :) And he ain't cattle.
    What he does is to take virtually ANY contrarian position,
    and defend it to the death no matter what. A one-trick pony.


    The cradle rocks above an abyss, and common sense
    tells us that our existence is but a brief crack of light
    between two eternities of darkness.

    VLADIMIR NABOKOV,
    Speak, Memory: A Memoir

    I don't always like your quotes, but I love that one. :)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: www.darkrealms.ca (1:229/2)
  • From thang ornerythinchus@1:229/2 to david.j.worrell@gmail.com on Wednesday, August 23, 2017 17:08:56
    From: thangolossus@gmail.com

    On Tue, 22 Aug 2017 17:39:21 -0700 (PDT), "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> wrote:

    Dude, almost anyone can PAY Elsevier to publish their work.
    And that journal it was in is literally going away next year.

    If that study is ever referenced or validated by say...
    Nature Climate Change, or Scientific American, or NASA,
    or National Geographic, or the National Academy of Sciences,
    or the IPCC, or the Yale Program on Climate Change, or the
    MIT Program on Science and Policy or etc. etc. ... then I'll listen.

    Otherwise, you're just doing exactly what I said - going out
    of your way to hunt down some contrarian data anywhere you can,
    just to be an asshole. It's totally what you do. :)

    For contrarian, try iconoclast. Copernicus was an iconoclast, and we
    all know *his* story.

    We won't know the truth or otherwise of anthropogenic climate change
    until it's historic fact...or not.

    Without contrarians as you call them we wouldn't have aircraft - we'd
    still be misled into believing that things that heavy couldn't
    possibly fly (bumblebee evidence to the contrary).

    I think the preponderance of evidence supports anthropogenic climate
    change but I'm still unsure because what we are experiencing may be an aberration and geologically historic data shows much higher levels of
    CO2 when we didn't exist.

    At least slider throws up new ideas, most often wrong but who knows?
    It's refreshing in a way. He clearly ain't cattle...



    The cradle rocks above an abyss, and common sense
    tells us that our existence is but a brief crack of light
    between two eternities of darkness.

    VLADIMIR NABOKOV,
    Speak, Memory: A Memoir

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