ABIO10 PGTW 101800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 131800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 181800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 231800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 251800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 271800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZSEP2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/301800ZSEP2020-011800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 061800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 091800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 101800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 120630
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/120630Z-121800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.3N 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 86.3E, APPROXIMATELY 205
NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120123Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS INVEST 91B IS IN A
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT, MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A LIMITED
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER WATER WITH LANDFALL NEAR 130000Z; HOWEVER,
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
MEDIUM.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 131800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /131800Z-141800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 151800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/151800Z-161800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 17.1N 75.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 74.1E, APPROXIMATELY 94
NM SOUTHEAST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
ATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
(LLC). A 151336Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FLARING
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE SHEARED OVER THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE (25-30 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. GLOBAL
MODELS DEPICT 92A INTENSIFYING AS IT TRACKS OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND
WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE ARABIAN PENINSULA OVER THE
FOLLOWING THREE DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 231800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 18.1N 86.4E HAS NOW MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 311800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/311800Z-011800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 101800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 101800Z-111800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.8S 88.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.6S 91.2E, APPROXIMATELY 1137
NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH LOW LEVEL BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS OBSCURED
BY FLARING CONVECTION. THE ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM
(28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE POLEWARD AND
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT PROVIDING MODEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.
SOLUTIONS FROM GFS, ECMWF AND UKMET NUMERICAL MODELS AGREE THAT
INVEST 92S WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.8S 88.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.4S 91.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1156
NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND AN 111546Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING DISTURBANCE WITH LOW LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION. THE
ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 92S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
#
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 121800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.7S 89.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S 87.8E, APPROXIMATELY 925
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW. A PARTIAL 121219Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE REVEALS FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE
LLCC FROM ALL SIDES. INVEST 92S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW (10 TO 20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM 29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92S
WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD IN
12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23
TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 140230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/140230Z-141800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 13NOV20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ALICIA) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 6.5S 81.5E, APPROXIMATELY 537 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD
TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.
SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.8S 65.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 65.9E, APPROXIMATELY 403 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. A 131848Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF
SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WINDS OF
15-20 KTS IN THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. INVEST 93S IS LOCATED IN AN
ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/OCEAN/ 141800Z-151800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 14NOV20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ALICIA) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 9.5S 77.2E, APPROXIMATELY 314 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA,
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO
65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT
9.1S 65.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.9S 66.7E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED, WEAK, FLARING CONVECTION OBSCURING AN
ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN 141133Z SSMIS
COMPOSITE 37 GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS LOW LEVEL BANDING AROUND THE LLCC, AND
SUGGESTS THAT THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. INVEST 93S IS TRACKING THROUGH A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY HIGH (30+ KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
CONVERGENT UPPER LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD TOWARDS DIEGO GARCIA OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS, ALBEIT WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION DUE TO THE HOSTILE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 151000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/151000Z-151800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZNOV2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150821ZNOV2020//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
/CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 15NOV20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ALICIA) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 74.1E, APPROXIMATELY 349 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60
KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 150900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.9S 66.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 67.1E, APPROXIMATELY 328 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
DEPICTS LOW LEVEL TURNING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) THAT IS PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY CONVECTION THAT IS SHEARED TO
THE SOUTHWEST. A 150221Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS LOW
LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. INVEST 93S IS IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40 KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 93S WILL REMAIN AT
ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AS IT INTERACTS WITH TC 01S, AND LOSING
STRENGTH BEFORE TURNING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 150830) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO
HIGH.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 161800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 16NOV20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ALICIA) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.3S 72.3E, APPROXIMATELY 552 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65
KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 160900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 171800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/171800Z-181800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.0S 74.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 181800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6N
64.1E, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181425Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE DEPICT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 94A IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM
(28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW
ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94A WILL
CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.6N 64.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 60.2E, APPROXIMATELY 494
NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND AN 191214Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT BUILDING CONVECTION
BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
INVEST 94A IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. OF NOTE, EIR
AND A 191430Z ASCAT-C PASS ALSO DEPICT A SECOND, WEAKER CIRCULATION
FORMING A FEW DEGREES EAST OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CIRCULATION.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94A WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT OF THE TWO CIRCULATIONS AND WILL CONTINUE A GENERALLY
WESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.6N 64.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 60.2E, APPROXIMATELY 494
NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND AN 191214Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT BUILDING CONVECTION
BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
INVEST 94A IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. OF NOTE, EIR
AND A 191430Z ASCAT-C PASS ALSO DEPICT A SECOND, WEAKER CIRCULATION
FORMING A FEW DEGREES EAST OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CIRCULATION.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94A WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT OF THE TWO CIRCULATIONS AND WILL CONTINUE A GENERALLY
WESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 210830
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/210830Z-211800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/11210751ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT./
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.9N 60.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 59.3E, APPROXIMATELY 323
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 210621Z METOP-B 89GHZ
SATELLITE IMAGE REVEALS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. A 210504Z ASCAT-A PASS REVEALS 30-35KT WINDS
IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITH 15-20KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 95A IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM
(27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 95A
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 210800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.0N 56.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 56.5E, APPROXIMATELY 392 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST. A 210621Z MHS
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AND A WEAKLY-
DEFINED LLCC. A 210507Z ASCAT-A 25-KM BULLSEYE IMAGE REVEALS A
DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS AND ISOLATED 25-30 KNOT
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 20-25 KNOT EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
ASSOCIATED WITH INVEST 95A'S UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, AND BROAD
DIFFLUENCE. INVEST 96A IS LOCATED ABOUT 316 NM SSW OF INVEST 95A AND
APPEARS TO BE UNDERGOING DIRECT CYCLONE INTERACTION (I.E., FUJIWARA)
WITH INCREASING APPROACH VELOCITIES. THE 21/00Z GFS RUN INDICATES
THAT INVEST 96A WILL CONTINUE DIRECT CYCLONE INTERACTION WITH THE
DOMINANT SYSTEM, INVEST 95A, AND WILL TRACK CYCLONICALLY AND GET
ABSORBED INTO THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF INVEST 95A WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH
AND AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO MEDIUM.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/212100Z-221800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 21NOV20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 10.8N 55.6E, APPROXIMATELY 634 NM EAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, AND HAD
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.3N 57.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 6.7N 57.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 58.0E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE LLCC
AS IT MOVES EASTWARD, AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF 95A. A 1612Z
METOP-A ASCAT PASS REVEALS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF
15 TO 20 KNOTS TO THE NORTHWEST. 96A IS CURRENLTY IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND LUKEWARM (27 TO 28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96A WILL
TRACK AROUND 03A, EVENTUALLY BEING ABSORBED ENTIRELY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
5.8N 88.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0N 87.3E, APPROXIMATELY 504 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD WITH SCATTERED
DEEP CONVECTION EXTENDING TO THE NORTHWEST. A 1202Z MHS NOAA-19
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SMALL AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET
TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. 97B IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING SLIGHTLY
OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97B WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD,
INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD OVER SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
WARNING STATUS.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221351ZNOV2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221521ZNOV2020//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
/CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 22NOV20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 10.4N 51.5E, APPROXIMATELY 408 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN,
YEMEN, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.5N 85.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.2N 85.4E, APPROXIMATELY 423 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ASYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE, WITH THE
MAJORITY OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AS FORMATIVE BANDING. A 221522Z MHS METOP-
B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE FRAGMENTED BANDING STRUTCTURE TO
THE NORTH, WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC FROM THE WEST. A 221521Z METOP-B
ASCAT PASS SHOWS A ROUGHLY NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED ELONGATED LLCC WITH
MOSTLY 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS COVERING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE, WITH A
SMALL SWATH OF 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS EMBEDDED WITHIN. 97B IS CURRENTLY
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD AND
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-
30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 97B WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY
AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD INDIA, REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS; HOWEVER, GFS PRESENTS A MUCH FASTER
INTENSIFICATION SCENARIO, INTENSIFYING 97B TO WARNING THRESHOLD
WITHIN 18 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B
#
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 231800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/REISSUED/231800Z-241800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231351ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231351ZNOV2020//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 23NOV20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WAS LOCATED NEAR
11.6N 48.6E, APPROXIMATELY 223 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.
SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 23NOV20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (FOUR) WAS LOCATED NEAR
10.0N 83.9E, APPROXIMATELY 282 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, AND HAD
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.
SEE REF B (WTIO32 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE:
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241351ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 24NOV20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 9.8N 82.8E, APPROXIMATELY 833 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA,
INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO32 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 26NOV20 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 12.3N 79.4E, APPROXIMATELY 804 NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA,
AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO32 PGTW 260300) FOR THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.1S 91.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 91.3E, APPROXIMATELY 331
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 261534Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE,
DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED SOUTHWESTWARD FROM
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY UNFAVORABLE (20 TO
25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT 95S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION,
POSSIBLY JUST REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD IN THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 270200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/270200Z-271800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 04B) HAS PERSISTED
NEAR 14.0N 80.7E, APPROXIMATELY 57 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI,
INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A
262321Z SSMIS F-18 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, DEPICTS THE FULLY EXPOSED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) MOVING BACK OVER WATER,
COMPLETELY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. A 261427Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS
SHOWED THE LLCC STILL OVER LAND WITH 30 TO 40 KNOT WINDS TO THE
SOUTH. 04B IS CURRENTLY IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HEAVILY OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO 25 KNOT) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH THE INDIAN COASTLINE. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANTS OF 04B QUICKLY MOVE BACK
OVERLAND AND COMPLETELY DISSIPATE WITHIN TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.2S 91.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 91.9E, APPROXIMATELY 215
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CIRCLING A BROAD LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) BEING SLIGHTLY SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. A
262146Z SSMIS F-16 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTIVE
BAND TO THE EAST TURNING INTO THE LLC WITH A LACK OF OVERALL
ORGANIZATION. 95S IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
WITH EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S
WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY BEFORE QUICKLY MOVING WESTWARD WITH
MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AS A LOW.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 271800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 04B) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 80.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.9S 91.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9S 91.3E, APPROXIMATELY 250
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CIRCLING A BROAD LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTH. A 271227Z MHS
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE EAST
TURNING INTO THE LLC WITH A LACK OF OVERALL ORGANIZATION. 95S IS
CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20 TO 30 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S
WILL TRACK WESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION. NAVGEM IS THE
EXCEPTION, WHICH INDICATES MARGINAL CONSOLIDATION AND INCREASING
WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/301800ZNOV2020-011800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 6.5N 87.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3N 87.6E, APPROXIMATELY 462 NM
EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD OF
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND EXTENDING TO THE NORTH
AND EAST. A 301158Z NOAA-19 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A WELL-
ORGANIZED LLCC WITH FRAGMENTED POTENTIAL FORMATIVE BANDING ON THE
NORTHEAST. 98B IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM
(28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 98B WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION, FLIRTING WITH THE 35 KNOT WARNING THRESHOLD BEFORE
MOVING ACROSS SRI LANKA AND THE INDIAN PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 300930) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.6S 88.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S 88.4E, APPROXIMATELY 508
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH
SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION PUSHED TO THE PERIPHERY. A 301319Z F-17
91GHZ MICROWAVE PARTIAL IMAGE REVEALS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LLC WITH
A SMALL PUFF OF DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE WEST. 95S IS CURRENTLY
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (28
TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (10 TO 20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S
WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION
BEFORE CONSOLIDATING, DRAMATICALLY TURNING TO A SOUTHWARD
TRAJECTORY, AND INTENSIFYING TO WARNING CRITERIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 011800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /011800Z-021800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 01DEC20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (FIVE) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 7.8N 84.8E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA,
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.2N 85.3E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.3S 86.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S 85.3E, APPROXIMATELY 783
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 011531Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
REVEAL A BROAD, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. THE CORRESPONDING 011532Z
METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS THE WEAK, ELONGATED LLC WITH A SWATH OF 20
TO 25 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. INVEST 95S IS CURRENTLY
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (28
TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION BEFORE TURNING
SOUTHWARD AND INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 041800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZDEC2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040321ZDEC2020//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 04DEC20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (BUREVI) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 79.4E, APPROXIMATELY 951 NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA,
INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING
TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 6.9S 85.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.4S 84.9E, APPROXIMATELY 738 NM
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 041610Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH SOME WEAK FRAGMENTED CONVECTION OVERHEAD. A 1611Z ASCAT-B IMAGE
REVEALS A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH 15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING IN ON THE
NORTHERN SIDE. INVEST 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (28
TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE (15-25 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
95S WILL BEGIN TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 051100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/051100Z-051800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050321ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.4S 84.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0S 86.4E, APPROXIMATELY 862 NM
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 050725Z AMSR2 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH FORMATIVE BANDING AND FRAGMENTED CONVECTION. INVEST
95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH SOME UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND HIGH (>25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95S WILL BEGIN TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW
050330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.7S
105.3E, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAKARTA, INDONESIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 050850Z SSMI
85GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD
AND OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 96S IS IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (>25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL TRACK
GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT
TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) AND
REMOVED TC 05B.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 05B) PERSISTED NEAR
8.9N 80.1E, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 051554Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE, DEPICTS DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A
WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE ACCOMPANYING 051553Z
METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEALS NORTHERLY WINDS DOMINATING THE BAY OF
MANNAR, INDICATING THAT THE LLC HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED. THE REMNANTS
OF TC 05B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW AND FAVORABLE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEING
OFFSET BY INTERACTION WITH THE INDIAN PENINSULA. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANTS OF TC 05B WILL TRACK WESTWARD,
PERSISTING AS A CIRCULATION INTO THE ARABIAN SEA WITH SOME LIMITED REINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS..
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.0S 86.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 86.8E, APPROXIMATELY 631 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TWO DISTINCT AREAS OF BUILDING DEEP
CONVECTION STRADDLING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) POSITION WITH
FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTH. A 051549Z
MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION
WITH THE SAME FRAGMENTED BANDING FEATURES TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF
THE LLC. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (20 TO 25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK
GENERALLY SOUTHWEST, DEVELOPING INCREASED WINDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE;
HOWEVER, 95S'S WIND FIELD WILL REMAIN HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 050330) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.7S 105.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 106.0E, APPROXIMATELY 156
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAKARTA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN OBSCURED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) BEING SLIGHTLY SHEARED TO THE WEST. A
051408Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS AN ISOLATED AREA
OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLC WITHOUT ANY CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION.
THE ACCOMPANYING 051409Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SQUASHED LLC
WITH LARGE AREAS OF 20 TO 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH WITH
A COUPLE BARBS SHOWING 35 KNOW WINDS TO THE NORTH. 96S IS CURRENTLY
IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY UNFAVORABLE (30 TO 40 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
MOSTLY IN AGREEMENT, WITH GFS BEING THE ONLY OUTLIER, THAT 96S WILL
TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD AFTER
SEVERAL DAYS AS IT NEARS THE AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR LEARMONTH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 060400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/060400Z-061800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060321ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANT OF TC 05B) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 80.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 79.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 060120Z MHS NOAA-19 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE, DEPICTS VERY LITTLE REMAINING CONVECTION IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE REMNANT OF TC
05B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH SLACKENING UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND INTERACTION WITH THE INDIAN PENINSULA OFFSETTING
LOW (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANT OF TC 05B WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AS
IT FULLY DISSIPATES WHILE A NEW CIRCULATION BLEEDS OFF INTO THE
ARABIAN SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO
15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.8S 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5S 86.5E, APPROXIMATELY 853
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 060102Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT
BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH A CONSOLIDATING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND
FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING IN FROM THE EAST AND SOUTH. 95S IS
CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY
UNFAVORABLE (20 TO 30 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH
WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD
WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS; HOWEVER THE OVERALL WIND FIELD WILL
REMAIN VERY ASYMMETRIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 060330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.8S 106.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S 106.3E, APPROXIMATELY 168 NM
SOUTH OF JAKARTA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
052320Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY
OBSCURED, ELONGATED LLC WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION STEMMING
FROM SURFACE CONVERGENCE TO THE NORTH. 96S IS CURRENTLY IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES BEING HEAVILY OFFSET BY LITTLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND
HIGH (30 TO 40 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE
INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD AS IT REACHES THE AUSTRALIAN COAST
NEAR LEARMONTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED WITH TCFA REISSUE FOR AREA IN
PARA 2.B.(1).//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 061800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060321ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 05B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 79.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.5S 86.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 85.5E, APPROXIMATELY 839
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 061527Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT FLARING DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE TIGHTENING
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) FROM THE EAST. A 061526Z METOP-B
PARTIAL ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH A HIGHLY
ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD, SHOWING A LARGE AREA OF 20 TO 35 KNOTS
RELEGATED TO THE SOUTH. 95S IS CURRENTLY IN AN INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW, LOW (15 TO 20
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL
TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD WHILE INTENSIFYING TO WARNING CRITERIA WITHIN
THE NEXT DAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO
30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21
PGTW 060330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.9S 106.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4S 107.4E, APPROXIMATELY 196
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAKARTA. ANIAMTED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 061158Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT
FLARING DEEP CONVECTION PARTIALLY OBSCURING A BROAD LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH CONVECTIVE RAIN BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE
SOUTH. 96S REMAINS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH POOR UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH (30 TO 40 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
OFFSETTING WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL REMAIN LARGELY
QUASISTATIONARY WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION AS ANOTHER CIRCULATION
TO THE SOUTHEAST DEVELOPS AND INTENSIFIES. MODELS ARE SOMEWHAT SPLIT
ON WHICH CIRCULATION WILL PROVE DOMINANT, WITH NAVGEM, ECMWF, AND
UKMET SHOWING 96S AS THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION. 96S WILL ULTIMATELY
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE INTENSIFYING, REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD IN
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT REACHES THE AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR
LEARNMONTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO
25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZDEC2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070521ZDEC2020//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 07DEC20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BONGOYO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 14.6S 81.9E, APPROXIMATELY 713 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.5S 107.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9S 108.1E, APPROXIMATELY
297 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAKARTA, INDONESIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 071145Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH A POCKET OF RAPIDLY DEEPENING CONVECTION IN THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. INVEST 96S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL CONSOLIDATE
WHILE REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY BEFORE TURNING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW
070530) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.7S 119.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8S 118.9E, APPROXIMATELY
304 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW LEVEL TURNING WITH FLARING
CONVECTION WHICH IS AN IMPROVEMENT FROM A 071324Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE REVEALED A LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION. A 071418Z METOP-C ASCAT
IMAGE REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 15-20 KT WINDS. INVEST 99S IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS AUSTRALIA WITH SOME
CONSOLIDATION BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 082200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/082200Z-091800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081952ZDEC2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081951ZDEC2020//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082121ZDEC2020//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A
/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 08DEC20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (THREE) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 11.0S 108.5E, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32
PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 08DEC20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BONGOYO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.7S 76.8E, APPROXIMATELY 1106 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS,
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55
KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 082100) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.8S 119.4E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.8S 119.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9S 120.8E, APPROXIMATELY 81
NM WEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY
(EIR) DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSCURING A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 081707Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
REVEALS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LLCC. INVEST 99S IS IN A
MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OFFSET BY MODERATE (10-
20 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT
99S WILL BRIEFLY INTENSIFY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER AUSTRALIA
AROUND TAU 12. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28
TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C
#
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 131800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 161800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 171800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN/PEARL/HARBOR/HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/OCEAN/171800Z-181800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.4S 86.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.4S 86.8E, APPROXIMATELY 850NM
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 171255Z SSMIS F-17 91H IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH SOME SHEARED CONVECTION OVERHEAD. A RECENT ASCAT-C
IMAGE REVEALS 20-25 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION FROM
THE NORTHERN EDGE. INVEST 93S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, BROAD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, AND HIGH (30-35 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT SHOWING
INVEST 93S TRACKING GENERALLY EASTWARD WITH LITTLE TO NO
INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. //
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 181800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.4S 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6S 87.2E, APPROXIMATELY 552 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181241Z SSMIS F-17 91H IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OVERHEAD. INVEST 93S
IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW,
AND LOW (<15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT SHOWING INVEST 93S TRACKING GENERALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
WITH LITTLE TO NO INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) IS LOCATED NEAR 13.5S
128.2E, APPROXIMATELY 197 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181256Z MHS
METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
(LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE DISTURBANCE. A RECENT 181141Z ASCAT-A IMAGE REVEALS
10-15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLC WITH 20-25 KNOT CONVERGENT
WESTERLY WINDS. INVEST 94S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD
OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT SHOWING INVEST 94S WILL
SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE AUSTRALIAN COAST, WHICH WILL HINDER DEVELOPMENT, BEFORE TURNING
MORE INLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.6S 87.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3S 89.9E, APPROXIMATELY 442 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 191559Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT
AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LIMITED CONVECTION IN THE
NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. INVEST 93S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH
(15-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT DEPICTING LITTLE TO NO INTENSIFICATION AS INVEST 93S
SLOWLY TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.5S 128.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.7S 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY
214 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 191043Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION AND SOME
FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 94S IS
CURRENTLY OVER LAND WITH MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS
INCLUDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT SHOWING INVEST 94S SLIGHTLY
INTENSIFYING AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
AUSTRALIAN COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
999 MB. BECAUSE THE CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS UNLIKELY TO TRACK
OVER WATER, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
10.9S 67.1E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF
TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST. INVEST 95S IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 95S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.3S 89.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.7S 125.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.9S 67.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 63.8E, APPROXIMATELY 601
NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 201218Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD
AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION SCATTERED THROUGHOUT. INVEST
95S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH
WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND
LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT
TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL/HARBOR/HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.0S 63.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 63.8E, APPROXIMATELY 520
NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 211156Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD
AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
INVEST 95S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT,
OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95S WILL CONTINUE TO
CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL/HARBOR/HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.9S 63.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 63.7E, APPROXIMATELY 453
NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 221418Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION BUILDING OVERHEAD
SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH. INVEST 95S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND LOW (<10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/270300Z-271800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261951ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 26DEC20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 49.7E, APPROXIMATELY 148 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW
262100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
10.9S 92.4E, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 262211Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE DEPICT A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH SOME SHEARED CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. INVEST 93S IS CURRENTLY IN AN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MODERATE (15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRA
CKING GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE TO NO INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 271800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN 271800Z-281800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270751ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 27DEC20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.1S 47.6E, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM NORTH OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 270900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.9S 92.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S 91.8E, APPROXIMATELY 306
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 271221Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SHEARED CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. A
271547Z ASCAT-C IMAGE SHOWS A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT WINDS
WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH. INVEST 93S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MODERATE TO STRONG
(15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE
TO NO INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 28DEC20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 20.0S 43.7E, APPROXIMATELY 236 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
EUROPA ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED
AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 280900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.7S 91.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S 90.0E, APPROXIMATELY 380
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 281350Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE
SOUTHWEST. A 281459Z ASCAT-A IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION
WITH MOSTLY 10 KNOT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND 15-20 KNOT
WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITH SOME PATCHES OF 25KTS. INVEST
93S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MODERATE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL
TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 291800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 29DEC20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 19.6S 39.9E, APPROXIMATELY 157 NM NORTH OF EUROPA ISLAND, AND HAD
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
10.4S 90.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 86.5E, APPROXIMATELY 611 NM WEST
OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
291551Z METOP-B 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT DISORGANIZED BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING
CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. A 290204Z ASCAT-A IMAGE SHOWS A
WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH MOSTLY 10 KNOT WINDS WITH 15-20 KNOT
WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 93S IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE (15-
20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S
WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.4S
70.5E, APPROXIMATELY 214 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 291336Z SSMIS 91GHZ
SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT DISORGANIZED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A POORLY
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN
THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. INVEST 96S IS IN A MODERATELY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WESTWARD AND POLEWARD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, STRONG TO MODERATE (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
LOW.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 302200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/REISSUED/302200Z-311800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751ZDEC2020//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/302051ZDEC2020//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 30DEC20 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CHALANE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 19.4S 34.6E, APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45
KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 300900) FOR THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.5S 87.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 85.5E, APPROXIMATELY 673
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 301531Z MHS 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DETACHED FROM MAIN AREA OF
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. A 301532Z ASCAT-B IMAGE SHOWS A WELL
DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 25 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
INVEST 93S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY HIGH (>25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW
302100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 10.4S 70.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 72.6E, APPROXIMATELY 287
NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 301424Z MHS 89 GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING
CONVECTION OVERHEAD. A 301626Z ASCAT-C IMAGE SHOWS A WELL DEFINED
CIRCULATION WITH 25-30 KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE.
INVEST 96S IS IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE (15-25 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL SLOWLY
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 312200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/REISSUED/312200Z-012200ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/312051ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) TTHE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.0S 85.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 83.7E, APPROXIMATELY 792
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301308Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED EAST FROM MAIN AREA OF
CONVECTION. INVEST 93S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY
HIGH (>25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH
MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAY BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH INVEST 96S, POTENTIALLY ABSORBING INVEST 93S. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 312100) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.0S 72.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 72.5E, APPROXIMATELY 267
NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 311651Z MHS 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING
CONVECTION OVERHEAD. INVEST 96S IS IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW
ALOFT, MODERATE (15-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 96S WILL SLOWLY TRACK NORTHEASTWARD WITH STEADY
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAY BEGIN TO INTERACT
WITH INVEST 93S. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO
MEDIUM.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 010400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/REISSUED/010400Z-011800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010251ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) TTHE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.0S 85.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 83.7E, APPROXIMATELY 792
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301308Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A
MOSTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION LOCATED EAST FROM MAIN AREA OF
CONVECTION. INVEST 93S IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY
HIGH (>25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH
MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAY BEGIN TO
INTERACT WITH INVEST 96S, POTENTIALLY ABSORBING INVEST 93S. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.9S 72.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2S 72.6E, APPROXIMATELY 288
NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 010159Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT PERSISTENT
CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
INVEST 96S IS IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
WITH WESTWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, MODERATE (15-25 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96S WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY BEFORE SLOWLY TRACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAY BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH INVEST 93S. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 010300) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO HIGH//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 012200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/012200Z-021800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011951ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 01JAN21 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 72.1E, APPROXIMATELY 247 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40
KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 012100) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.8S 81.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S 80.8E, APPROXIMATELY 662
NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 011935Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT FLARING
CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 011543Z ASCAT-C PARTIAL PASS REVEALS SOME 25KT WINDS IN
THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST 93S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (< 15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY
SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AND MAY BEGIN TO INTERACT AND BE ABSORBED BY INVEST 96S. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.3S 72.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO
WARNING STATUS.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 02JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 72.5E, APPROXIMATELY 222 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45
KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.7S 80.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 77.4E, APPROXIMATELY 498
NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. INVEST 93S IS CURRENTLY 350 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF TC 08S AND HAS BEGUN FUJIWHARA INTERACTION. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 021609Z METOP-B 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT WEAKENING CONVECTIVE BANDING AND ISOLATED
FLARING CONVECTION. A 021610Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS A BROAD AND
ELONGATED CIRCULATION OF MOSTLY 10-15KT WINDS ADJACENT TO AN
EXTENSIVE REGION OF 25-30KT GRADIENT WINDS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL ACCELERATE WESTWARD AND
BECOME ABSORBED IN TC 08S WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 03JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 74.2E, APPROXIMATELY 328 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55
KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.2S 77.4E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 05JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.7S 76.0E, APPROXIMATELY 611 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED
AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 061800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 06JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.5S 74.5E, APPROXIMATELY 576 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 07JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.3S 70.3E, APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED
AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 08JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.0S 66.6E, APPROXIMATELY 542 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW
081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 090330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/090330Z-091800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 09JAN21 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DANILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.4S 64.2E, APPROXIMATELY 404 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25
KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 090300) FOR THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.9S 100.9E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 082052Z SSMIS 91GHZ
MICROWAVE PASS DISPLAYS FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A POORLY
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION
IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. INVEST 98S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S
WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WILL CONTINUE A SLOW INTENSIFICATION
TREND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ISSUED FINAL WARNING FOR TC 08S AND
UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO LOW.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 091800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /091800Z-101800ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.9S 100.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S 99.4E, APPROXIMATELY
450 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 091522Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
INVEST 98S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND
WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 98S WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTHWESTWARD AND WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
11.0S 86.0E, APPROXIMATELY 643 NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111623Z METOP-B 89GHZ
MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS DISORGANINZED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WEAK
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). INVEST 99S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD WESTWARD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY
STRONG (25-30KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL TRACK WEST AND INTENSIFY OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 132230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/132230Z-141800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132151ZJAN21//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.1S 77.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 77.7E, APPROXIMATELY 475
NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 131336Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL
DISORGANIZED FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. A 131541Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN
ELONGATED, ASYMMETRIC LLCC WITH 25-30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH.
INVEST 99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 99S WILL TRACK WESTWARD AND CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.8S 97.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1S 97.2E, APPROXIMATELY 15
NM EAST OF COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 131541Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A
CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD AND
IMPROVING CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE WRAPPING
INTO A TIGHTENING CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE COCOS
ISLANDS (YPCC) INDICATE SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 27KTS WITH SLP 1004MB
(3MB 24HR PRESSURE DECREASE). A 131425Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A
TIGHT LLCC WITH 20-25 KNOT WRAPPING WINDS AND SMALL AREA OF 30-35
KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST. INVEST 90S IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT,
MODERATE (20-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-30C) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 90S WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD,INTENSIFYING TO WARNING
THRESHOLD WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 132200) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO
HIGH AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132151ZJAN21//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.8S 97.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6S 73.9E, APPROXIMATELY 385
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 141204Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE SHOW SLOWLY
CONSOLIDATING LLCC AND FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTOA
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 99SIS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOODAGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL TRACK
WESTWARD AND CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.8S 97.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 96.2E, APPROXIMATELY 116
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 141519Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE SHOW A CONSOLIDATING
SYSTEM WITH BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION. A 140707Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN
AREA OF 30-35 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST. INVEST 90S IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW
ALOFT, MODERATE (20-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 90S WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING
THRESHOLD WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 132200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 152130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/152130Z-161800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151951ZJAN2021//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152051ZJAN2021//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 15JAN21 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TEN) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 16.4S 94.1E, APPROXIMATELY 1590 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 152100) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.9S 68.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3S 67.5E, APPROXIMATELY
407NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151152Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) OBSCURED BY FLARING
CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO
THE CIRCULATION FROM THE SOUTH. A 1642Z ASCAT METOP-B IMAGE SHOWS 25-
30 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLC FROM THE SW QUADRANT. INVEST
99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW
ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-
29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT INVEST 99S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT
SLOWLY INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE
REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.2S 95.7E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA. 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH
AND UPGRADED AREA 2.B.(2) TO WARNING STATUS.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 162130 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN CORRECTED/161800Z-171800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 16JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (TEN) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 16.6S 92.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1325 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 160900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.3S 67.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 65.2E, APPROXIMATELY 532
NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 161438Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS CONVECTIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. INVEST
99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH
ROBUST WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY STRONG (35-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 99S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT SLOWLY INTENSIFIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IN PARA. 2.B.(1)
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 170930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/170930Z-171800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZJAN2021//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170753ZJAN2021//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 17JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (JOSHUA) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.4S 89.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1222 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 170900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) AT 17JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 62.1E, APPROXIMATELY 528 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 170900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.6S 65.2E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO
WARNING STATUS.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 171800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/171800Z-181800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171351ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZJAN2021//
NARR/REFS A AND A ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 17JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (JOSHUA) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.9S 89.4E, APPROXIMATELY 1214 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 171500) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) AT 17JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 62.1E, APPROXIMATELY 528 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 170900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 201530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/201530Z-201800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZJAN2021//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201452ZJAN2021//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201451ZJAN2021//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B AND C ARE TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 20JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 48.0E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH OF
ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW
200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.4S 104.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S 121.4E, APPROXIMATELY
265 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 200222Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP
CONVECTION, PARTICULARLY SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. A PARTIAL 200607Z
ASCAT-A PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH 20-25KT WIND
BARBS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 15-20KT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31C)SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY
WESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND STRENGTHENS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 201500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 13.4S 104.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S 99.3E, APPROXIMATELY 153
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION OVER A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ADDITIONALLY,
201202Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND
WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST
93S WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND
STRENGTHENS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO
30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C
#
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 212130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR/HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/OCEAN/212130Z-222130ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210751ZJAN2021//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211351ZJAN2021//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZJAN2021//
NARR/REFS A, B AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 21JAN21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.6S 42.7E, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
EUROPA ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED
AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 210900) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 21JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 97.3E, APPROXIMATELY 1116 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF
LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW
211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) AT 21JAN21 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FOURTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 18.8S 120.4E, APPROXIMATELY 116 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
BROOME, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW
212100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 17.9S 119.9E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
SEE PARA. 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 251800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 25JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 95.4E, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW
251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 26JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 19.2S 93.9E, APPROXIMATELY 2065 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS,
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 271800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 27JAN21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (THIRTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 19.4S 90.3E, APPROXIMATELY 1861 NM EAST OF PORT LOUIS,
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

ABIO10 PGTW 011800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZFEB2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011354ZFEB2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 01FEB21 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 21.1S 118.1E, APPROXIMATELY 56 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW
011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 13S) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 61.5E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)