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ACUS11 KWNS 130026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130025
TXZ000-NMZ000-130230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0725 PM CDT Tue Mar 12 2019

Areas affected...Eastern NM and West TX

Concerning...Tornado Watch 17...

Valid 130025Z - 130230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 17 continues.

SUMMARY...Line of severe storms over eastern NM will continue to
track eastward into west TX. A new watch will likely be needed in
1-2 hours as storms approach the eastern edge of WW17.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to intensify along a line from
near Carlsbad, NM northward into De Baca county NM. These storms
are moving eastward at 40+ knots and will move into west TX around
0130z. The environment ahead of the line is slowly destabilizing as
the warm front lifts northward across west TX. The 00z MAF sounding
shows less cap than forecast by recent model guidance. Given
current trends and recent CAM solutions, the threat of damaging wind
gusts and isolated tornadoes along the line will persist through the
evening. Therefore, a new watch is likely in the next 1-2 hours.

..Hart/Dial.. 03/13/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 34040408 34540332 34880193 34920036 34229996 32659994
32000046 31840149 32010319 32400390 32990394 34040408



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