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ACUS11 KWNS 091259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091258
MOZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-091500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0168
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2019

Areas affected...northeast Texas and southeast oklahoma across
Arkansas and the Arklatex

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 10...11...

Valid 091258Z - 091500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 10, 11
continues.

SUMMARY...Limited severe risk -- mainly in the form of hail along
with some wind potential -- is ongoing, and should spread eastward
across Arkansas and the Arklatex area over the next several hours.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar shows a couple of broken bands of storms
-- with embedded/occasional more intense updrafts. One band aligned
from the Ozarks to northeast Texas near PRX has generally diminished
in organization/intensity over the past couple of hours, with the
most intense storms along the southern periphery of the band from
southeast Oklahoma southward.

A second band of storms -- more solidly linear -- continues to
develop across north Texas along the advancing Pacific front -- with
the most intense cell over the Hood/Somervell county line.

With time, the convection will continue spreading eastward,
accompanied by limited severe risk, with little appreciable change
in intensity expected overall. The initial morning visible
satellite imagery hints at fairly extensive cloud cover ahead of the
ongoing storms, and thus little heating-aided destabilization is
likely early this morning. Still, with some hail/wind risk likely
to persist locally, a new/downstream WW over much of AR and the
Arklatex region will likely be needed.

..Goss.. 03/09/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...
OUN...

LAT...LON 35979336 36149213 37039020 36148966 33229158 32219323
31829669 32069806 34209592 35559462 35979336



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