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ACUS11 KWNS 191028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191028
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-191230-
Mesoscale Discussion 0397
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019
Areas affected...southeast Alabama...western Georgia...and central
and eastern portions of the Florida Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 86...
Valid 191028Z - 191230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated/limited severe risk persists across valid
portions of the watch.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a persistent convective band
now extending from far northeast Georgia south-southwest to the
central Florida Panhandle. The line is most solid across Georgia,
while some weakening/disorganization is noted farther south into
southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.
With very strong deep-layer flow providing shear favorable for
organized storms, the main limiting factor for more robust severe
risk has been modest instability across most of the region, and a
slightly stable boundary layer -- particularly north/away from the
Gulf Coast. Still, given shear favorable for rotating updrafts,
potential for damaging winds with stronger cells -- and a brief
tornado or two -- continues.
..Goss.. 04/19/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...
LAT...LON 31868560 33058462 33388430 33248382 32458392 30038405
29588501 29848588 31868560
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