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ACUS11 KWNS 040137
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040136
GAZ000-FLZ000-040330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0156
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0736 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2019

Areas affected...portions of northern Florida and southeast Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 9...

Valid 040136Z - 040330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 9 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for a tornado and locally damaging winds
continues across locally-extended Tornado Watch 8 and southern
portions of Tornado Watch 9. Current indications are that a a new
downstream watch will not be needed.

DISCUSSION...A line of severe thunderstorms with embedded/transient
low-level circulations was located from Colquitt County, GA south to
Gulf County, FL at 0130Z. Several TDS signatures have been noted
with circulations along this line in the past two hours, and a
continued risk for tornadoes will exist through 03-04Z across the
eastern FL panhandle/Big Bend given 0-1 km SRH in excess of 300
m2/s2. As the evening progresses, this line of storms will move
into an environment where earlier mixing has lowered dew points, and
increasing CINH should lead to a weakening trend. Although an
isolated risk for damaging winds and possibly a brief tornado will
exist east and south of the current watch areas, the overall trend
is such that a downstream watch is not anticipated.

..Bunting/Guyer.. 03/04/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 29528318 29798368 29338493 29608527 30128459 30988388
31098301 31538189 31288144 30778163 30388194 29998253
29708285 29528318



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