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ACUS11 KWNS 031803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031802
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-031900-

Mesoscale Discussion 0143
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2019

Areas affected...western FL Panhandle...far southeast AL...far
southwest GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 8...

Valid 031802Z - 031900Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 8 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercell tornado potential will increase during the next
2 hours coincident with the increasing number and maturation of
supercells over southeast AL and adjacent parts of southwest GA.

DISCUSSION...KEVX radar imagery as of 1800z shows a supercell in
Walton County, FL moving east-northeast. The KEVX VAD displays a
hodograph yielding 140 m2/s2 0-1km SRH when accounting for the
observed storm motion. Stronger low-level shear is evident on the
KMXX VAD and progged by model guidance (200-300 m2/s2 0-1km SRH)
farther to the north in southeast AL (in the vicinity of KEOX and
KMXX). As a result, expecting the tornado risk to increase
substantially between 18z and 20z in association with the strongest
low-level mesocyclones as they move across far southeast AL and into
adjacent parts of GA.

..Smith.. 03/03/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 30898633 31748562 31848490 31328494 30708617 30898633



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