• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0132

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, February 24, 2019 09:40:03
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 240839
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 240839
    GAZ000-ALZ000-241115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0132
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0239 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

    Areas affected...east-central Alabama into west-central Georgia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 240839Z - 241115Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind gust or brief tornado cannot be
    ruled out over the next few hours.

    DISCUSSION...A line of shallow thunderstorms with overall decreasing
    lightning trends continues to push east along a cold front from
    eastern AL into western GA. Surface analysis shows a narrow plume of
    upper 60s F dewpoints ahead of the front, and also west of an
    established stationary wedge front over GA. Two-hour pressure falls
    were also in excess of 2 mb, indicative of strong southwesterly
    low-level flow which may allow for some northeastward advancement of
    the marginally unstable air. Overall, the environment will become
    less favorable for severe storms as they cross into the cooler air.
    Until then, low-level shear and sufficient instability may support
    periodic strong wind gusts or even a brief QLCS tornado along the
    cold front.

    ..Jewell/Thompson.. 02/24/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

    LAT...LON 31998648 32428613 32838578 33228545 33588525 33468467
    33258432 32918409 32628376 32338343 31938352 31638394
    31568463 31568541 31628585 31718620 31998648



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