1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0840

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, June 23, 2018 19:39:21
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1529782765-7074-1290
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 231939
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 231938
    SCZ000-GAZ000-232045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0840
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0238 PM CDT Sat Jun 23 2018

    Areas affected...central and southern SC...southeast GA

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 231938Z - 232045Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and probably
    intensify this afternoon. Localized gusts of 45-55 mph are possible
    and potentially capable of pockets of wind damage.

    DISCUSSION...Visible imagery this afternoon shows a cluster of
    thunderstorms developing over the Savannah River Valley. Surface
    temperatures ahead of this activity have warmed into the lower 90s
    degrees F and lower 70s dewpoints. Modifying the 12Z CHS RAOB for
    current conditions near the coast yields around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE.
    Despite the relatively weak unidirectional westerly flow over the
    region, KCAE VAD data has shown slightly stronger 700mb flow than
    depicted in model guidance (observed 35-40 kt). It seems likely the multicellular cluster of the Savannah Valley will continue to move
    east towards the SC Lowcountry during the next several hours.
    Water-loading downdrafts with an occasional strong microburst are
    forecast. The risk for localized wind damage may increase over the
    next few hours.

    ..Smith/Thompson.. 06/23/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...

    LAT...LON 32938176 33538188 33928165 34058009 33577934 33017944
    31908096 32008173 32458286 32938176



    ------------=_1529782765-7074-1290
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1529782765-7074-1290--

    --- SBBSecho 3.04-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)