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ACUS11 KWNS 230409
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230409
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-230615-
Mesoscale Discussion 0832
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1109 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018
Areas affected...Oklahoma...Western Arkansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 200...202...
Valid 230409Z - 230615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 200, 202
continues.
SUMMARY...A wind damage threat will continue across much of Oklahoma
over the next few hours, reaching western Arkansas after midnight. A
new weather watch will likely be necessary to the east of severe
thunderstorm watch 202 as the line approaches the eastern edge of
the watch.
DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a mature fast-moving
linear MCS across central and southwestern Oklahoma. The linear MCS
is moving east-southeastward at about 60 kt and is forecast to
approach the eastern edge of severe thunderstorm watch 202 by around
0530Z. The 60 kt movement will make wind damage likely along the
leading edge of the MCS. Damaging wind gusts of greater than 70 mph
will be possible with the stronger parts of the line. Ahead of the
MCS, the RAP is analyzing moderate instability across southeastern
Oklahoma into southwestern Arkansas suggesting the MCS will track
and develop more on the southern end. This should take the line of
storms across southeastern Oklahoma and into southwestern Arkansas.
..Broyles/Grams.. 06/23/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 33609404 33839575 33989694 34309853 34519913 34779953
35169960 35539916 36349779 36869709 36719613 35539407
35029317 34489311 33779345 33609404
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