• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1714

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, December 17, 2018 08:04:11
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    ACUS11 KWNS 170704
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 170703
    MEZ000-NHZ000-171300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1714
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0103 AM CST Mon Dec 17 2018

    Areas affected...southern and eastern Maine

    Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

    Valid 170703Z - 171300Z

    SUMMARY...Snow, perhaps mixed with freezing rain or sleet, will
    remain possible through the overnight hours.

    DISCUSSION...Frontogenesis in the 850-700-millibar layer within the warm-conveyor belt has resulted in a band of heavy precipitation
    along the southeast coast of Maine. This band will continue to pivot
    northwest through the overnight hours. In the vicinity of this band,
    surface temperatures have fallen below 32F, despite RAP forecasts
    suggesting temperatures would remain near or above 32F. Modifying
    the RAP soundings for the observed colder surface temperatures, wet
    snow is likely, but given the strength of the warm-air advection
    within the warm-conveyor belt, temperatures within the
    850-700-millibar layer may approach, or even exceed, 0C. As such,
    precipitation may mix with, or change to, freezing rain or sleet
    overnight.

    ..Marsh/Goss.. 12/17/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

    LAT...LON 44197086 45246936 45826711 44936676 44246739 43256962
    43007082 44197086



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