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ACUS11 KWNS 162052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162052
OHZ000-162145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0755
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

Areas affected...Portions of Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 162052Z - 162145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts will remain possible into this
evening. Watch issuance is not expected though.

DISCUSSION...A few strong/severe storms have developed along a
theta-e ridge near weak surface confluence over Ohio this afternoon.
KILN VWP data sampled relatively weak/disorganized tropospheric flow
and storm cell evolution in western Ohio seems largely driven by
propagation along radially expanding outflow. Farther east, modestly
stronger 700mb flow (noted in KPBZ VWP data) is yielding slightly
more organization. In both cases, locally damaging winds will be the
primary threat, aided by warm/moist boundary layer conditions. This
threat will diminish this evening, as cells drift into weakening
instability with southward extent.

..Picca/Grams.. 06/16/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON 39928472 40508334 40698169 40608124 39808159 39508192
39078361 39218462 39928472



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