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ACUS11 KWNS 011936
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011935
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-012100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1683
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CST Sat Dec 01 2018

Areas affected...FL Panhandle Region

Concerning...Tornado Watch 433...

Valid 011935Z - 012100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 433 continues.

SUMMARY...Widespread strong convection will persist across the FL
Panhandle region this afternoon. Isolated damaging winds remain
possible along with some tornado threat.

DISCUSSION...Sustained low-level warm advection appears mostly
responsible for widespread convection across the FL Panhandle into
southeast AL. Isolated embedded supercells have been noted within
larger thunderstorm clusters, but most of the stronger and more
sustained rotating updrafts have struggled to move onshore. Even so,
one significant supercell is now moving into Bay county FL. While an
isolated tornado can not be ruled out with this activity it appears
the primary storm mode may remain multi-cellular in nature, thus
damaging winds are likely the main threat. Severe threat continues
across most of ww433.

..Darrow.. 12/01/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 31518665 31508412 29458411 29488664 31518665



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