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ACUS11 KWNS 102337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102336
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-110100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CDT Thu May 10 2018

Areas affected...Southern IL/Southern IN/Western KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 102336Z - 110100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Strong storms will linger across parts of the lower OH
River Valley this evening.

DISCUSSION...Weak low-level warm advection ahead of a low-amplitude
short-wave trough appears mostly responsible for recent convective
development along a corridor from portions of southern IL into
western KY. This activity should spread southeast over the next few
hours and should weaken later this evening as primary zone of
isentropic ascent shifts north of this region. Until then, isolated
large hail and gusty winds may accompany this strongest convection.

..Darrow/Guyer.. 05/10/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON 38978899 38548717 37958579 37198651 38338903 38978899



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ACUS11 KWNS 180452
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180452
TXZ000-180615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

Areas affected...Portions of central and southern TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 180452Z - 180615Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Sporadic strong to severe wind gusts will continue the
next several hours across parts of northern into southern TX. WFOs
DFW and EWX have expended WW 78 and 79 eastward, and a new watch
across portions of the CRP WFO could be needed later depending on
convective trends.

DISCUSSION...Several bowing line segments stretched from north TX south/southwest toward Laredo TX as of 0430z. While convection has
generally trended downward late this evening, several intense cells
continue to produce severe wind gusts. This trend will likely
continue for several hours into the overnight hours to the east of
severe thunderstorm watches 78 and 79. The downstream airmass
remains very moist and moderately unstable with strong vertical
shear. However, forcing for ascent will decrease with eastward
extent and this may ultimately limit severe potential beyond about
09z. Nevertheless, potential exists at least in the near term for
sporadic strong/damaging wind gusts.

The southern part of the bowing segments over Uvalde to Maverick
Counties in southern TX will track more east/southeast toward
portions of the Corpus Christi WFO. Depending on radar trends, a new
watch may be needed for portions of that area, since none of the CRP
county warning area is included in WW 79.

..Leitman/Hart.. 04/18/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 28590008 29099957 30039840 31309761 32239724 32519705
32639686 32479640 32129611 31839600 30709600 29369665
28499735 27959814 27879930 27949996 28220021 28590008



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