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ACUS11 KWNS 102310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102310
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-110115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0379
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0610 PM CDT Thu May 10 2018

Areas affected...Western/Central Nebraska

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79...

Valid 102310Z - 110115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms continue to pose a threat for
large hail and damaging winds, with upscale growth to a linear
convective system expected over time.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed across the watch
area and continue to intensify as they move into richer low level
moisture across portions of western/central NE. MLCAPE of 1500-2000
J/kg and effective bulk shear 40-50 kt will help to sustain the
ongoing supercell structures across the area, posing mainly a large
hail and damaging wind threat. The more isolated storms,
particularly across northwestern/north-central NE, may pose an
isolated tornado threat, as low-level winds are now backing within
the decoupling boundary-layer resulting in an increase in low-level
shear. With time, the scattered storms should begin to merge over
the next few hours, with the primary threat transitioning to
damaging winds into central portions of NE.

..Karstens.. 05/10/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 40420222 41220288 42220312 43040241 43020074 42689968
40789951 40160015 40150154 40420222



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ACUS11 KWNS 180252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180252
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-180415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0379
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0952 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

Areas affected...Northern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76...

Valid 180252Z - 180415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 76
continues.

SUMMARY...The large hail and damaging wind threat continues across
severe thunderstorm watch 76. The area with the greatest threat for
damaging winds will be in northeast Oklahoma and southeast Kansas.
Local watch extensions or a downstream watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Storms continue across two areas within severe
thunderstorm watch 76. The storms along the stationary front
continue to be primarily hail producers while the line of storms
along I-35 in Oklahoma have formed into a bowing segment with
primarily a damaging wind threat. Expect the primary threat to be
the bowing line of storms. Recently the Blackwell, OK mesonet site
reported a wind gust of 62 mph. As this line continues to mature,
expect wind speeds to continue to increase with the possibility for
some winds in excess of 70 mph. Expect this line of storms to
maintain severe intensity into far eastern Oklahoma and southeastern
Kansas, but there is considerable uncertainty whether the line will
be severe when it moves into a less unstable environment in
Missouri. Therefore, trends will need to continue to be monitored
for a downstream watch.

..Bentley/Hart.. 04/18/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 36949777 37329729 38019612 38519533 38179419 36979404
36629451 35809589 35289703 35219777 35239828 36319774
36949777



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