• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1654

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, November 24, 2018 03:16:13
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1543025777-22240-757
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 240216
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 240215
    VAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-240815-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1654
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0815 PM CST Fri Nov 23 2018

    Areas affected...portions of western North Carolina and southwest
    Virginia

    Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

    Valid 240215Z - 240815Z

    SUMMARY...Mixed precipitation will continue to increase in coverage
    over the Blue Ridge mountains of western North Carolina while
    spreading north into southwest Virginia through 08Z/3 a.m. EST.
    Freezing rain, mixed at times with sleet, can be expected with ice accumulations in excess of .05 inches/3 hours possible.

    DISCUSSION...A cold low-level air mass was in place across the
    discussion area at 02Z with surface temperatures in the lower-mid
    30s, and dew points generally in the lower 20s. A negatively-tilted upper-level trough over the MS Valley region will move steadily east
    tonight, with increasing large-scale forcing for ascent developing
    over the next few hours. This mid-level forcing, combined with
    low-level moist/warm advection, will lead to an expanding area of
    precipitation through the late evening and overnight hours.

    NAM/RAP forecast soundings and latest hi-resolution guidance suggest
    freezing rain will be the dominant precipitation type across the
    discussion area, with accumulation rates of 0.05 inches/3 hours
    possible. Some sleet may also occur given an increasing warm layer
    centered around 800 mb.

    ..Bunting.. 11/24/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...GSP...MRX...

    LAT...LON 35298194 35268230 35328252 35638251 35898234 37058103
    37368049 37327991 37027985 36627995 35968079 35298194



    ------------=_1543025777-22240-757
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1543025777-22240-757--

    --- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)