• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1614

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, November 01, 2018 17:03:54
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    ACUS11 KWNS 011703
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 011703
    GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-011900-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1614
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1203 PM CDT Thu Nov 01 2018

    Areas affected...western Georgia...Florida Panhandle...eastern
    Alabama

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421...

    Valid 011703Z - 011900Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts remain possible in association
    with a line of storms moving from eastern Alabama into western
    Georgia. Storms along the coastal Florida Panhandle may produce a
    severe wind gust as well.

    DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms currently stretches from the
    Al/GA/TN tri-state area southward along the AL/GA border and into
    the western FL Panhandle. Much of this activity has been relatively
    low-topped owing to weak instability, but strong lift along the
    leading outflow has been able to breach a weak inversion just above
    850 mb. Pockets of heating, as well as the northward advection of
    65-68 F dewpoints should maintain current instability levels of a
    few hundred J/kg MUCAPE. Some of the activity may not produce
    lightning, but gusty winds are likely along the line. A few surges
    of stronger wind gusts are possible to 40-50 kt. A brief/weak
    tornado cannot be ruled out, but the primary threat will be strong
    wind gusts.

    ..Jewell/Grams.. 11/01/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 30298637 30858567 31338542 31838533 32418533 33328547
    34158568 34608589 34778573 34698548 34378516 33708470
    32878423 31758388 31028384 30318406 29868435 29598470
    29498507 29708547 30028572 30298637



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