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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1545

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, October 09, 2018 08:41:16
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 090841
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090840
    TXZ000-090915-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1545
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0340 AM CDT Tue Oct 09 2018

    Areas affected...southwest into central TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401...

    Valid 090840Z - 090915Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A strong gust cannot be ruled out with the ongoing broken
    band of storms across the Edwards Plateau. A couple of discrete and
    nearly stationary supercells may yield a localized risk for wind
    damage in association with their water-laden RFD's.

    DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a broken squall line from
    west-central TX extending southwest into the greater San Angelo
    area. Discrete thunderstorms in the form of a cluster and isolated
    warm sector development are likely to continue farther south near
    the Rio Grande. As a mid-level shortwave trough over the Big Bend
    region pivots to the northeast during the early morning hours,
    favorable large-scale ascent in combination with a very moist
    surface to mid-level profile will strongly favor thunderstorms with intermittent intensification in the form of small bowing segments
    and supercells. The primary hazard with this activity is
    strong/locally severe gusts capable of pockets of wind damage.

    ..Smith.. 10/09/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

    LAT...LON 29660183 31030101 32239967 31779884 30269963 28970047
    28950079 29660183



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