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ACUS11 KWNS 150430
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150430
TXZ000-150500-

Mesoscale Discussion 1585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

Areas affected...Northeast TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 415...

Valid 150430Z - 150500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 415
continues.

SUMMARY...Although locally strong winds and small hail cannot be
ruled out with the remaining storms advancing across the small valid
portion of WW 415, this watch should be allowed to expire as
scheduled at 05Z as the overall convective trends weaken.

DISCUSSION...Trends in radar imagery and lightning data with the
convection across northeast TX indicated a substantial decrease in
intensity and coverage, respectively. This is likely due to the
increasing influence of strengthening surface-based inhibition, and
these trends will continue to limit the severe-weather threat into
the overnight.

..Peters.. 10/15/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...

LAT...LON 32829530 33219461 32399467 32169496 32129536 32829530



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