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ACUS11 KWNS 022313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022313
CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-030045-
Mesoscale Discussion 1516
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0613 PM CDT Tue Oct 02 2018
Areas affected...PA to Southwest CT
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 392...394...
Valid 022313Z - 030045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 392, 394
continues.
SUMMARY...East-West band of strong/severe thunderstorms will sag
southeast across central PA into northern NJ over the next few
hours.
DISCUSSION...Weak large-scale height falls are spreading across the
northern Middle Atlantic ahead of a low-amplitude short-wave trough.
Scattered supercells are noted along this corridor though multiple
storm mergers are resulting in upward evolving east-west squall
line. MRMS hail algorithm suggests a few supercells are generating
hail near severe levels; otherwise, locally damaging winds remain
possible with this activity. As supercell structures evolve into
line segments and clusters, the threat of tornadoes should gradually
decrease over the next few hours.
..Darrow.. 10/02/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...PBZ...CLE...
LAT...LON 41878084 41877519 41737520 41877326 40997325 40887486
40867520 40417518 40398082 41878084
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