• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1506

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, September 27, 2018 19:04:19
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    ACUS11 KWNS 271904
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 271903
    GAZ000-ALZ000-272130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1506
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0203 PM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018

    Areas affected...Portions of Georgia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 271903Z - 272130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A loosely organized cluster of storms has congealed over
    the last hour or so along the AL/GA border. Strong winds gusts are
    possible as the storms move northeast across Georgia.

    DISCUSSION...Storms that began this morning over Alabama have merged
    into a loosely organized QLCS along the AL/GA border in the last
    hour and should continue to move northeast through the afternoon.
    The storm environment ahead of the line is characterized by moderate instability (MLCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg) and relatively weak shear
    (effective bulk shear of 15-25 knots) with a unidirectional vertical
    wind profile. Continued insolation will increase boundary-layer
    mixing and low-level lapse rates ahead of the line, which could
    produce some isolated strong/severe wind gusts. Given the expected
    isolated low-end severe wind threat, it is unlikely a watch issuance
    will be necessary this afternoon across central/northern Georgia.

    ..Nauslar/Jewell.. 09/27/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

    LAT...LON 33548529 33918538 34178521 34568447 34758381 34648353
    34028301 33358253 32848221 32318206 31888262 31468343
    30938481 31208488 31358492 32208510 33548529



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