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ACUS11 KWNS 271904
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271903
GAZ000-ALZ000-272130-
Mesoscale Discussion 1506
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 PM CDT Thu Sep 27 2018
Areas affected...Portions of Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 271903Z - 272130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A loosely organized cluster of storms has congealed over
the last hour or so along the AL/GA border. Strong winds gusts are
possible as the storms move northeast across Georgia.
DISCUSSION...Storms that began this morning over Alabama have merged
into a loosely organized QLCS along the AL/GA border in the last
hour and should continue to move northeast through the afternoon.
The storm environment ahead of the line is characterized by moderate instability (MLCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg) and relatively weak shear
(effective bulk shear of 15-25 knots) with a unidirectional vertical
wind profile. Continued insolation will increase boundary-layer
mixing and low-level lapse rates ahead of the line, which could
produce some isolated strong/severe wind gusts. Given the expected
isolated low-end severe wind threat, it is unlikely a watch issuance
will be necessary this afternoon across central/northern Georgia.
..Nauslar/Jewell.. 09/27/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...
LAT...LON 33548529 33918538 34178521 34568447 34758381 34648353
34028301 33358253 32848221 32318206 31888262 31468343
30938481 31208488 31358492 32208510 33548529
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