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ACUS11 KWNS 031456
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031455
OKZ000-TXZ000-031600-

Mesoscale Discussion 0335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0955 AM CDT Thu May 03 2018

Areas affected...Southern OK...North/Central TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69...70...

Valid 031455Z - 031600Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 69, 70
continues.

SUMMARY...Gusty winds and marginally severe hail will accompany
squall line as it advances across portions of OK/TX.

DISCUSSION...Linear MCS has evolved over the southern plains this
morning. Squall line has advanced to a position from near
TUL-ADM-FTW-BWD. This convection is moving east at roughly 30kt and
should remain organized as it progresses across the remainder of WWs
69/70. Gusty winds are the primary severe threat with bow-type
echoes embedded along the line. 12z sounding at FWD exhibited a
favorable shear profile for maintaining organized convection and
ample buoyancy for robust updrafts. Given the current speed/movement
of this activity, squall line should approach the eastern edge of
WW70 shortly after 17z.

..Darrow.. 05/03/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 30500021 33349878 33359967 34839879 34819580 33279677
33249590 30519731 30500021



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ACUS11 KWNS 140921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140920
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-141115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0420 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

Areas affected...portions of Alabama...middle/southeastern
Tennessee...and northwestern Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 57...

Valid 140920Z - 141115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 57 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for tornadoes and wind damage continues for WW
57. A new tornado watch may eventually be needed downstream after
1030-1100Z.

DISCUSSION...A broken band of convection continues near the I-65
corridor from middle Tennessee into central Alabama currently. A
few of these storms have exhibited signatures consistent with brief
tornadoes - most recently in Shelby County near BMX. These storms
continue in a strongly sheared, yet weakly unstable environment,
with enough instability present to maintain the severe threat
through the eastern extent of WW 57. An estimated 230/45 storm
motion should take these storms toward the eastern end of the WW
around 11Z or so, and a downstream tornado watch issuance will
probably be needed.

..Cook.. 04/14/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON 35748669 35858613 35858557 35488493 34828469 33848464
33218476 32718514 32468573 32358641 32488687 32848711
33388717 34178708 34998694 35448693 35748669



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