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ACUS11 KWNS 030733
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030732
ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-030900-

Mesoscale Discussion 0331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0232 AM CDT Thu May 03 2018

Areas affected...Northwest Arkansas...much of Missouri...western
Illinois

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 68...

Valid 030732Z - 030900Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 68
continues.

SUMMARY...A line of storms will continue east across northern
Arkansas, southern and eastern Missouri, and western Illinois with
mainly a threat of locally damaging wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...A somewhat disjointed line of storms currently extends
from western IL into central MO, and approaching north central AR. A
relatively warm and moist air mass exists ahead of the line, with
dewpoints mainly in the mid 60s F. Surface temperatures remain in
the mid 70s F, but forecast soundings indicate this is a bit cool
relative to 700 mb temperatures resulting in a poor lapse rate.
Still, objective analysis indicates up to 400 m2/s2 effective SRH,
suggesting brief areas of rotation are possible along the line due
to sufficient instability.

..Jewell.. 05/03/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON 35399429 36059364 37289325 37879295 38409254 39319109
39659047 39688991 39218951 38208957 37069017 35919176
35639250 35399328 35399429



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ACUS11 KWNS 140213
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140213
ALZ000-MSZ000-140345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0913 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2019

Areas affected...Eastern Mississippi and northwest Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 55...

Valid 140213Z - 140345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 55 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues across tornado watch
55. The primary threat will likely be damaging winds into the
overnight hours.

DISCUSSION...The cold front is currently surging across Mississippi
and has started to catch the pre frontal convection in north central Mississippi. As this front continues to move eastward, bowing line
segments may become increasingly likely with the threat for damaging
winds. Given the strong low-level helicity across the area (greater
than 500 m2/s2 per HTX VWP), embedded QLCS tornadoes are possible.
The warm front may lift a few counties north in the next few hours
to the northern most row of counties in Alabama. The greatest
damaging wind threat will be anywhere south of this warm front with
the tornado threat maximized in close proximity to this warm front
where low-level flow will be more backed.

..Bentley.. 04/14/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 34058980 34498873 34718793 34848735 34778679 34678626
34028622 33188629 32428703 31738888 31778940 31959044
32749033 34058980



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