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ACUS11 KWNS 022219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022218
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-022345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0319
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0518 PM CDT Wed May 02 2018

Areas affected...Central/Eastern KS

Concerning...Tornado Watch 61...

Valid 022218Z - 022345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 61 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for all severe hazards, including wind gusts in
excess of 60 kt and tornadoes, continues across central and eastern
KS.

DISCUSSION...Well-developed line of thunderstorms continues to move
across central KS. Northern end of this line has recently shown an
increase in forward speed as well as a sharpening of the
reflectively gradient along the leading edge. These trends coupled
with recent velocity data from KTWX suggest this portion of the line
has matured into an organized MCS capable of strong damaging wind
gusts, a few of which could be greater that 60 kt. Tornadoes are
also possible, particularly along the surging portion of the line
where mesovorticies within the line are most likely. Storm motion
for this portion of the MCS is currently estimated as 245 degrees at
45 kt.

Farther south, KICT radar imagery shows the outflow has surged ahead
of the line from McPherson county KS southwestward to Barber county.
As a result, the damaging wind threat is a bit less here than areas
farther north. However, the downstream airmass is moderately
unstable and surface winds are favorably oriented (i.e. from the
southeast), so there is some potential for re-organization of this
portion of the line.

..Mosier.. 05/02/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON 39449783 39989711 40169637 40159584 39989547 39819524
39629511 39439508 39089523 38759548 38299598 37489703
37069844 37499924 39449783



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