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ACUS11 KWNS 141943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141942
NCZ000-142145-
Mesoscale Discussion 1450
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018
Areas affected...eastern North Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 373...
Valid 141942Z - 142145Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 373 continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for a few tornadoes will persist through this
evening over a portion of eastern North Carolina. A new tornado
watch will need to be issued for this region prior to WW 373
expiration of time of 21Z.
DISCUSSION...As of mid afternoon the center of Florence remains over
extreme southeast coastal NC near the NC/SC border and is drifting
very slowly west and southwest. This motion is forecast by the
National Hurricane Center to persist into tonight (see the latest
advisories from the NHC for further information). Much of eastern NC
will remain within the favorable northeast quadrant for a threat of
isolated tornadoes through this evening, but the primary threat zone
may gradually shift a little farther south with time. No cloud
breaks between the outer convective bands have materialized inland,
and tendency has been for the primary bands to consolidate, along
with a trend for less discrete convective elements. This has
resulted in a temporary decrease in observed supercells during the
past couple of hours. Nevertheless, given the very favorable wind
profiles in place with large 0-1 km hodographs northeast of the
center, along with persistent moist, onshore flow, the threat will
remain for embedded supercells to develop offshore over the Gulf
Stream and move inland. This will necessitate the issuance of a
replacement tornado watch prior to 21Z that will remain valid
through much of the evening.
..Dial.. 09/14/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
LAT...LON 34147741 34717810 35247864 35987790 35757625 34947576
34337660 34147741
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