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ACUS11 KWNS 140456
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140456
NCZ000-140730-

Mesoscale Discussion 1447
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CDT Thu Sep 13 2018

Areas affected...Eastern NC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 372...

Valid 140456Z - 140730Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 372 continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for transient supercells producing a brief
tornado risk persists across a part of eastern North Carolina,
including the Outer Banks, as Hurricane Florence maintains a general
westward movement toward the coast.

DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery indicated periodic
increases in low-level shear couplets and short lines of shear
embedded within mid-outer rain bands as they translate northwest
through west between KMHX and KHSE. The environment remains very
moist with surface dew points in the mid-upper 70s and precipitable
water of 2.64 inches on the 00Z MHX sounding. This combined with
the very strong low-level shear (MHX VAD modified with KNKT surface
wind resulting in 59 kt of sfc-1 km shear and 900 m2/s2 of 0-1 km
SRH) attendant to the hurricane will continue to support the threat
for a brief tornado threat overnight.

..Peters.. 09/14/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 34217727 34767823 35187808 35987724 36017565 35767516
34937531 34547613 34237642 34217727



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