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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1425

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, September 04, 2018 23:05:32
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 042305
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 042304
    FLZ000-ALZ000-050000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1425
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0604 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

    Areas affected...Southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 042304Z - 050000Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat will gradually increase through
    tonight as Gordon approaches the Alabama/Mississippi coastline.
    Trends are being monitored for a small Tornado Watch across portions
    of the discussion area.

    DISCUSSION...Low-level vertical shear profiles have exhibited a
    gradual strengthening across the discussion area with the approach
    of TS Gordon. Additionally, convection offshore just east of the
    center of Gordon is rapidly moving northwestward and should
    gradually spread inland across the discussion area - first impacting
    areas from Mobile, AL to Fort Walton Beach, FL and vicinity over the
    next hour or so. These cells will pose a risk for isolated
    tornadoes through tonight as a more buoyant offshore airmass
    approaches coastal areas on the eastern and southeastern quadrant of
    the cyclone. Trends will be monitored for a small Tornado Watch
    issuance across portions of the discussion area.

    ..Cook/Thompson.. 09/04/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

    LAT...LON 30098763 30418809 30818821 30958812 31028762 31038701
    30968650 30788617 30558602 30378599 30138605 29998617
    30088689 30098763



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