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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1414

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, September 03, 2018 00:01:54
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 030001
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030001
    KSZ000-030200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1414
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0701 PM CDT Sun Sep 02 2018

    Areas affected...Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365...

    Valid 030001Z - 030200Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat will be possible over the next
    couple of hours across parts of central and northeastern Kansas.
    Wind damage will be the primary severe weather hazard.

    DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a large area of
    thunderstorms extending from near the Kansas-Oklahoma state line
    northward into far southern Nebraska. Numerous multicells are
    ongoing in this cluster. This activity has overturned the airmass
    across much of central Kansas. A pocket of moderate instability
    likely exists a bit further east from near I-35 northeastward to
    near Topeka. The RAP is estimating MLCAPE along this corridor in the
    2000 to 2500 J/kg range which combined with 0-6 km of 30 kt on the
    Topeka WSR-88D VWP should be sufficient for an isolated severe
    threat. The instability combined with the moist airmass may result
    in a few wet downbursts near severe limits over the next couple of
    hours.

    ..Broyles/Thompson.. 09/03/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

    LAT...LON 38579584 37969712 37419831 37339887 37549916 38059932
    38959896 39649831 39919778 39909724 39749560 38579584



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