• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1376

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, August 28, 2018 03:35:26
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    ACUS11 KWNS 280335
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280334
    MIZ000-WIZ000-280530-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1376
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1034 PM CDT Mon Aug 27 2018

    Areas affected...eastern Wisconsin into northern and Upper Michigan

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354...

    Valid 280334Z - 280530Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for a few severe wind gusts persists across the
    watch, and may affect parts of northern Lower Michigan later this
    evening.

    DISCUSSION...Two lines of storms currently exist across the region.
    One line was surging northeastward across Upper Michigan, with
    another trailing southwestward from near Green Bay into southwest
    Wisconsin. The greatest threat for damaging winds currently appears
    to be with the more meridionally oriented portion of the line from
    Green Bay to north of Milwaukee, while storms farther southwest are
    more oriented along with the deep-layer mean wind. While the
    strongest instability exists across southern Wisconsin into Iowa,
    the threat appears to be transitioning to heavy rain with training
    echoes.

    To the east, instability is less over northern Michigan, but perhaps
    sufficient for severe wind gusts given ample shear and mean wind
    speeds. Depending on convective trends over the next 1-2 hours as
    storms cross Lake Michigan, a new watch may need to be considered.

    ..Jewell.. 08/28/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX...

    LAT...LON 43529052 43838955 44128879 44508853 44788810 45148757
    45598666 45968586 46068528 45908441 45458388 44748399
    44198473 43948561 43898652 43478832 43388935 43319013
    43339046 43529052



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