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ACUS11 KWNS 280335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280334
MIZ000-WIZ000-280530-
Mesoscale Discussion 1376
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1034 PM CDT Mon Aug 27 2018
Areas affected...eastern Wisconsin into northern and Upper Michigan
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354...
Valid 280334Z - 280530Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for a few severe wind gusts persists across the
watch, and may affect parts of northern Lower Michigan later this
evening.
DISCUSSION...Two lines of storms currently exist across the region.
One line was surging northeastward across Upper Michigan, with
another trailing southwestward from near Green Bay into southwest
Wisconsin. The greatest threat for damaging winds currently appears
to be with the more meridionally oriented portion of the line from
Green Bay to north of Milwaukee, while storms farther southwest are
more oriented along with the deep-layer mean wind. While the
strongest instability exists across southern Wisconsin into Iowa,
the threat appears to be transitioning to heavy rain with training
echoes.
To the east, instability is less over northern Michigan, but perhaps
sufficient for severe wind gusts given ample shear and mean wind
speeds. Depending on convective trends over the next 1-2 hours as
storms cross Lake Michigan, a new watch may need to be considered.
..Jewell.. 08/28/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX...
LAT...LON 43529052 43838955 44128879 44508853 44788810 45148757
45598666 45968586 46068528 45908441 45458388 44748399
44198473 43948561 43898652 43478832 43388935 43319013
43339046 43529052
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