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ACUS11 KWNS 120319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120318
AZZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-120445-
Mesoscale Discussion 1276
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1018 PM CDT Sat Aug 11 2018
Areas affected...Southern Nevada and Far Southeast California
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 120318Z - 120445Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms continues moving west-southwest into
far southern Nevada/southeast California. Strong wind gusts are the
main threat.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has accelerated over southern
Nevada approaching from the northeast, and another cluster of storms
is moving/developing westward across far southern Nevada/southeast
California. Both clusters have produced strong/severe wind gusts and
there have been reports of dust storms in northwest Arizona. There
is some indication a cold pool has formed behind the northern storm
cluster, which would increase the wind threat. Additionally, 40-50+
F surface dewpoint depressions, steep low-level lapse rates, and
DCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg all support possible severe wind gusts.
These storms should continue over the next 1-2 hours before
weakening in a less buoyant/moist environment in southeast
California/far southwest Nevada. Given the small spatial/temporal
threat of severe weather, a watch issuance is unlikely.
..Nauslar/Grams.. 08/12/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...VEF...
LAT...LON 34901576 35571603 36791591 37081575 37161527 37231479
37201455 36691452 35931455 35061446 34541458 34531519
34901576
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