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ACUS11 KWNS 102148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102148
OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-102345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1272
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0448 PM CDT Fri Aug 10 2018

Areas affected...eastern Illinois into western Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 102148Z - 102345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few storms may be capable of marginally severe wind
gusts through early evening.

DISCUSSION...Storms have gradually developed along a weak cold front
across east-central Illinois, and over northern Indiana where a
surface low was noted at 21Z. Farther east, an outflow boundary was
analyzed from northeastern Indiana into central Ohio. Ahead of these boundaries, moderate instability has developed with MLCAPE of
2500-3000 J/kg. As storms have only recently developed over Illinois
and Indiana coincident with peak heating, they are expected to
persist or increase a bit in coverage through early evening. Weak
wind profiles should generally preclude much organization, but small
clusters of storms may yield strong outflow winds.

..Jewell/Grams.. 08/10/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON 39488873 39748842 40198767 40438747 40968733 41118676
41028513 40878468 40578414 40198383 39848370 39418354
39038393 39158444 39178478 39268554 39238630 39098688
38768740 38698774 38768831 38918894 39058911 39488873



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