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ACUS11 KWNS 070206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070206
OKZ000-COZ000-NEZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-070300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1253
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0906 PM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018

Areas affected...Central High Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...334...

Valid 070206Z - 070300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333, 334
continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for strong wind gusts and hail may extend past the
expiration time of Severe Thunderstorm Watches 333 and 334. Local
extension in time may be needed across portions of the area.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms throughout the region have generally
maintained a predominately discrete storm mode over the past few
hours. However, storms have become a bit more clustered over the
last hour. The northern cluster (east of DEN) has shown trends
toward more discrete propagation along the southward moving outflow.
While strong updrafts have occasionally been noted, the overall
downward trend in individual storm organization suggests a gradually diminishing storm threat. Even so, large hail and strong wind gusts
remain possible, particularly with any storm mergers.

Farther south (across southeast CO), a few more organized updrafts
remain but cold pool amalgamation appears to be underway, evidenced
by the increased forward motion noted on recent scans. Instability
is a bit higher here than areas farther north and the expectation is
for storms to persist a bit longer across this area.

Severe Thunderstorm Watches 333 and 334 are set to expire at 03Z and
a new watch after these expire is not currently anticipated.
However, local extension in time may be needed over portions of the
area given the persisting threat for strong wind gusts and hail.

..Mosier.. 08/07/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...

LAT...LON 40500567 41870556 42090453 41820283 39930291 36800249
36700522 39330565 40500567



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