1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1246

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, August 06, 2018 20:03:00
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1533585785-55329-2439
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 062002
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 062002
    COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-062130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1246
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0302 PM CDT Mon Aug 06 2018

    Areas affected...The Front Range of Colorado and Wyoming into the
    far western Nebraska Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 062002Z - 062130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...A few supercells are possible along and east of the Front
    Range in Colorado and Wyoming late this afternoon and into the
    evening. The primary threats from these storms will be large hail
    and damaging winds.

    DISCUSSION...Areas along and just east of the Rocky Mountain Front
    Range have warmed into the 70s to low 80s with dewpoints in the
    upper 50s this afternoon. This has led to MLCAPE values around 1000
    to 1500 J/kg. Combined with effective shear around 50 knots per FTG
    VWP, the environment will support supercell organization. Storms may
    remain widely scattered which could preclude the potential for a
    severe thunderstorm watch, but given the favorable CAPE/shear
    environment with mid-level lapse rates around 8.5 to 9 C/km, a
    severe thunderstorm watch may be needed if storm coverage is high
    enough. Any storms which develop are capable of both large hail and
    damaging winds with an isolated threat of very large hail.

    ..Bentley/Thompson.. 08/06/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 39990537 40190544 41030556 42020566 42100516 42130469
    42130425 42010382 41670362 40720349 40280353 40110378
    39940446 39990537



    ------------=_1533585785-55329-2439
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1533585785-55329-2439--

    --- SBBSecho 3.05-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)