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ACUS11 KWNS 290038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290038
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-290215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1189
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0738 PM CDT Sat Jul 28 2018

Areas affected...eastern Wyoming through far western Nebraska

Concerning...Tornado Watch 319...

Valid 290038Z - 290215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 319 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for isolated large hail, downburst winds and a
tornado or two will persist through 02Z, mainly from southeast
Wyoming into western Nebraska.

DISCUSSION...Isolated storms including supercells continue to
advance southeast through eastern WY and far western NE. The surface
layer across the northern part of WW 319 including northeast WY has
stabilized due to the influence of several rounds of earlier storms.
Greatest severe threat next couple hours is expected across
southeast WY into western NE where the atmosphere is moderately
unstable with 1500 J/kg MLCAPE, but storm coverage will remain
sparse. Effective bulk shear from 45-55 kt will continue to support
supercell structures capable of large hail next couple hours. Though
a tornado or two remains possible in the near term, a stabilizing
boundary layer suggests this window is gradually closing.

..Dial.. 07/29/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...RIW...

LAT...LON 44410490 42840300 41430272 41060419 41470548 43040650
44270632 44410490



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