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ACUS11 KWNS 292208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292207
NEZ000-KSZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-292300-
Mesoscale Discussion 1198
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0507 PM CDT Sun Jul 29 2018
Areas affected...Southwestern South Dakota...western Nebraska...and northwestern Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 322...323...
Valid 292207Z - 292300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 322, 323
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 323.
DISCUSSION...Scattered, mainly hail-producing thunderstorms are
ongoing across northern portions of the Watch (southwestern South
Dakota into northwestern Nebraska). A couple of significant severe
hail instances have also been observed. The moderately unstable,
yet strongly sheared environment in place across the WW will
continue to support large (isolated significant) hail and damaging
wind gusts throughout the evening. While low-level shear profiles
aren't particularly impressive, weak low-level southeasterly flow
beneath 50-60 kt west-northwesterly mid-level flow will support
occasional updraft rotation and perhaps a brief tornado or two given
favorable storm mode. Some upscale growth may also occur in the
next 1-2 hours given convective trends and recent high-resolution
model guidance. This which may also increase the damaging-wind
threat over time.
..Cook.. 07/29/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 43820407 44080386 44330297 44290201 43880129 43210063
42580039 41820030 41130022 40220014 39620003 39039999
38580001 38460048 38330116 38460159 39170173 40040174
40840202 42510287 43010345 43230401 43530423 43820407
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