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ACUS11 KWNS 292021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292020
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-292115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 PM CDT Sun Jul 29 2018

Areas affected...extreme southeast WY...northeast CO

Concerning...Tornado Watch 322...

Valid 292020Z - 292115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 322 continues.

SUMMARY...Several hail-prolific producing supercells will pose a
giant hail (potentially 3+ inches in diameter) and tornado risk for
the next 1-2 hours as the storms move through extreme southeast WY
into northeast CO.

DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows 3 large hail-producing supercells
over southeast WY to the northeast of CYS. The KCYS VAD shows an
impressive deep-layer shear profile with southeasterlies veering to
the west at 1.5 km ARL and strengthening in excess of 75kt at 8km.
As a result, 75kt 0-6 km shear and moderate buoyancy will favor very
large to giant hail growth (2-3.5 inches in diameter) during
intermittent periods of more intense updraft spurts. The risk for a
supercell tornado will remain with the 2 downstream supercells in
Laramie County, WY as the storms move into northern Weld County, CO.

..Smith.. 07/29/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 40700460 41670508 41850482 41570409 40880363 40630381
40550421 40700460



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