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ACUS11 KWNS 260052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260051
IAZ000-NEZ000-260215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1161
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Wed Jul 25 2018

Areas affected...Eastern Nebraska and western Iowa

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 260051Z - 260215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Several storms are developing along a southward moving
cold front in eastern Nebraska. Isolated large hail and damaging
winds are possible.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed in an area of increased
convergence along a southward moving cold front in eastern Nebraska.
The 00Z OAX sounding shows MLCAPE around 1100 J/kg with around 40
knots of effective shear. This combination of buoyancy and shear
will support at least a few organized storms, however, the longevity
of this threat will be limited as surface-based CINH increases with
the loss of daytime heating. Isolated large hail and damaging winds
will be the primary threat for the next few hours.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 07/26/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...GID...

LAT...LON 42789452 42179524 42129577 42069675 41929731 41749810
41679847 41629901 41309909 40809881 40529845 40349712
40519594 41029512 41569445 42339354 42789452



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