• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1159

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wednesday, July 25, 2018 23:30:40
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1532561445-1941-5117
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 252330
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 252329
    WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-260100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1159
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0629 PM CDT Wed Jul 25 2018

    Areas affected...Northern Iowa...Southeast Minnesota...and most of
    Wisconsin.

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308...

    Valid 252329Z - 260100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat of large hail and damaging winds persists in
    watch 308. The best chance for severe weather is in south central
    Minnesota and north central Iowa.

    DISCUSSION...Numerous storms have developed within watch 308. Most
    of these storms have struggled to maintain strength, likely due to
    limited buoyancy attributed to cloud cover across much of the
    eastern portion of the watch. Storm intensity has been greater in
    western portions of the watch where instability is greater. One
    particular storm produced hail up to 2.75 inches in southern
    Minnesota. This supercell has since weakened due to storm mergers in
    northern Iowa. However, given a similar environment ahead of this
    line of storms, the hail threat continues. In addition, these storms
    may congeal and pose an increasing wind threat through the evening.

    Further east, a loss of daytime heating, and cloud cover will limit
    any further destabilization. Current MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg and
    effective shear around 40 knots may support some strong to severe
    storms for the next few hours, but the severe threat will likely not
    be as great as further west.

    ..Bentley.. 07/25/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...

    LAT...LON 43639523 44099486 44269463 44869310 45229217 45429080
    45688991 45528897 45108853 44538833 43888832 43478850
    43068936 42599032 42339112 42249222 42159309 42179392
    42249479 43639523



    ------------=_1532561445-1941-5117
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1532561445-1941-5117--

    --- SBBSecho 3.05-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)