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ACUS11 KWNS 232232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232231
COZ000-240000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1148
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018

Areas affected...CO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306...

Valid 232231Z - 240000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will propagate off the Palmer
Divide toward south-central CO over the next several hours. Large
hail and isolated severe wind gusts are the primary risks.

DISCUSSION...Considerable amount of convection has developed along
the Front Range, south to the Palmer Divide. Severe hail is noted
within the strongest updrafts, especially over El Paso County where
MRMS suggests the largest stones are likely in excess of 1.75". With substantial buoyancy residing across the Arkansas River Basin, east
of the higher terrain, it appears thunderstorms will spread toward
this reservoir of instability with an attendant threat of hail/wind.

..Darrow.. 07/23/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...GJT...

LAT...LON 37050497 39370638 39380450 37060316 37050497



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