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ACUS11 KWNS 220735
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220735
NCZ000-SCZ000-221000-
Mesoscale Discussion 1129
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0235 AM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018
Areas affected...Northeast SC and far southeast NC
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 220735Z - 221000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Locally strong/damaging wind gusts will be possible
through 5-6 AM EDT, as a compact cluster of storms tracks to the
east-northeast across northeast South Carolina (including Myrtle
Beach) into adjacent part of southeast North Carolina (including the
Wilmington area).
DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery showed a compact, forward-propagating short line of storms moving through northeast SC
during the overnight to early morning. These storms are tracking to
the east-northeast at 35-40 kt along a moderately strong instability
gradient, which extends from northeast SC to along the NC coastal
area. Given the forward speed, available instability, and effective
bulk shear of 25-35 kt, this organized cluster should be sustained,
at least, until it moves off the Atlantic coast between 09-10Z.
..Peters/Edwards.. 07/22/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...
LAT...LON 33997982 34107924 34237856 34297786 34217741 33927733
33497833 32947921 32847964 32888018 32918027 33038033
33517993 33997982
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