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ACUS11 KWNS 211116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211116
MSZ000-211315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1116
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0616 AM CDT Sat Jul 21 2018

Areas affected...Central MS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298...

Valid 211116Z - 211315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298
continues.

SUMMARY...A marginal risk for damaging winds will continue through
early morning across central Mississippi, though trends suggest an
overall diminishing trend in the severe-weather threat across the
remainder of WW 298, and this watch could be cancelled prior to 15Z.

DISCUSSION...Since 10Z, trends in mosaic radar imagery showed the
leading portion of the cluster of storms moving southeast into
central MS had begun to decelerate from an earlier fast storm motion
at 50 kt to a current motion of 35 kt. Storm reflectivities were
undergoing substantial weakening per mosaic imagery and most CAPPI
levels. These trends are all indicating that the objectively
analyzed strong surface-based inhibition is and will continue to
limit the potential for new storm development into the early
morning.

..Peters.. 07/21/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 32388927 32299025 32649091 33089097 33629084 33879018
33778966 33678921 32388927



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