• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1113

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, July 21, 2018 06:38:47
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    ACUS11 KWNS 210638
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 210638
    NCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-210745-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1113
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0138 AM CDT Sat Jul 21 2018

    Areas affected...TN...far northeast AR...northern MS...northern
    AL...and northern GA

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 294...295...

    Valid 210638Z - 210745Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 294, 295 continues.

    SUMMARY...New WWs will be coordinated with WFOs across Tennessee,
    northeast AR, northern Mississippi, northern Alabama and northern
    Georgia to replace Tornado Watches 294 and 295.

    DISCUSSION...A reservoir of very strong instability remains in place
    across western into middle TN to part of northern MS and northern AL
    with MUCAPE exceeding 3500 J/kg. Area VWP data per WSR-88Ds
    indicated 30-kt west-southwesterly low-level winds extended from
    Memphis to middle TN providing low-level ascent atop an
    outflow-reinforced baroclinic zone, which extended from southern KY
    to northern GA. Thunderstorms will continue to develop along and
    east of this boundary through the overnight with the available
    CAPE/shear parameter space favoring a continued severe-weather
    threat. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threat,
    as the exit region of a 60-65-kt northwesterly 500-mb jet spreads
    southeast into the Mid-South, Tennessee Valley, and toward the
    southern Appalachians overnight. Low-level SRH will remain
    sufficient to not rule out a tornado.

    ..Peters/Edwards.. 07/21/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN... PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

    LAT...LON 36288998 37228654 36758517 36408394 35118386 34308441
    33968658 33678862 33979082 34239113 35229061 36288998



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