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ACUS11 KWNS 200421
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200421
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-200615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1094
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018

Areas affected...northwest Mississippi into northeast Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 200421Z - 200615Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms remain possible over the
next few hours, with localized hail or wind.

DISCUSSION...A storm complex over AR has weakened substantially,
with only sporadic storms along the leading outflow. This air mass
remains quite unstable, and some redevelopment cannot be ruled out.
To the east, scattered storms persist across northern MS, with the
strongest cell over western MS approaching the river with a
southwesterly motion. However, the air mass contains larger amounts
of CIN with southerly extent. Thus, while a few strong storms remain
possible over the next few hours, only an isolated severe threat is
currently forecast.

..Jewell/Goss.. 07/20/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON 32209180 32949143 33409136 33889139 34269136 34629075
34649016 34628957 34408926 33698922 33078955 32439023
32139084 32029132 32209180



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