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ACUS11 KWNS 100159
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100159
NDZ000-MTZ000-100330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1027
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0859 PM CDT Mon Jul 09 2018

Areas affected...Northeast MT and northwest ND

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268...

Valid 100159Z - 100330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268
continues.

SUMMARY...Primary risk of large hail (possibly significant), along
with isolated severe wind gusts and a brief tornado continue with a
pair of supercells tracking southeast near the MT/ND/Saskatchewan
border area.

DISCUSSION...Lead supercell is crossing Sheridan county MT into
Williams county ND, with an upstream supercell noted north of
Sheridan county MT. These cells should continue to move southeast
into/towards northwest ND. Additional storms have recently formed
west of the watch into western Daniels county along a surface
trough/effective dryline. This young convection might mature into a
supercell prior to MLCIN increasing after sunset.

..Grams.. 07/10/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...GGW...

LAT...LON 46970302 47340451 47700523 48000583 48060583 48150583
48220583 48560580 49000505 49000405 49000150 49000150
48540105 47840058 47810058 47720058 47700058 47660058
47330066 47150075 46970176 46970213 46970302 46970302



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