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ACUS11 KWNS 170444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170444
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-170645-
Mesoscale Discussion 0763
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1144 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018
Areas affected...far southeast North Dakota...a large portion of Minnesota...and into northwest Wisconsin
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 182...
Valid 170444Z - 170645Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 182
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated severe risk continues across the WW area.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar mosaic loop shows widespread storms in a
west-to-east band extending from southeast North Dakota eastward to
the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan, in a zone of low-level warm
advection associated with a 40-50 kt southwesterly low-level jet.
Storms remain largely sub-severe, through a few cells occasionally
indicate radar signatures indicative of marginally severe hail. In
addition, a near-severe (46 kt) gust was recently reported from
Alexandria, MN -- associated with a weakly bowing cluster of storms
now crossing the Todd/Morrison County MN vicinity. Some potential
exists -- given the southwesterly jet and abundant, slightly
elevated CAPE over southern Minnesota -- that some
east-southeastward propagation of this bowing cluster of storms
could occur. In that scenario, potential for locally gusty/damaging
winds could increase a bit. Otherwise, marginally severe hail and a
few stronger gusts can be expected over the next couple of hours
with the strongest storm cores.
..Goss.. 06/17/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...ARX...MPX...FGF...ABR...
LAT...LON 45269606 45989723 46519714 47149612 48429286 48239029
45139009 45099554 45269606
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